What Is Gevo, Inc. (GEVO) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Gevo, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $1.02, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $1.49. With 9 out of 12 models flagging downside (-31.4% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $1.68 (+12.7%), versus Markov DDM at $0.16 (-89.3%). This +102.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.
What Do the Models Say About GEVO?
12 of 13 models are currently active for GEVO. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GEVO's intrinsic value at $0.28, implying -80.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does GEVO Rank in Industrial Organic Chemicals?
Among 20 Industrial Organic Chemicals stocks, GEVO ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.4 indicates above-average quality.
As a industrial enterprise, Gevo, Inc. operates in a sector where aftermarket revenue mix is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating GEVO should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is GEVO a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GEVO a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Gevo, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Gevo, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.4/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +102.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every GEVO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across GEVO's 12 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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