REX American Resources Corporation (REX) Fair Value 2026

REX · Chemicals ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (32/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, REX American Resources Corporation (REX) trades at $40.98, versus a $22.11 median fair value across its 11 active models — 46.0% below the current price. QOC: 8.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 32/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $6.55.

Key Facts

Ticker
REX
Price
$40.98
Quality Score
8.3/10
Value Trap Risk
32/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.3/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is REX American Resources Corporation (REX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, REX American Resources Corporation (REX) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $22.11, 46.0% below the current price of $40.98. Estimates range from $6.55 to $46.27. REX scores 8.3/10 on fundamental quality and 32/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. REX’s -46.0% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Chemicals sector median is -0.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy REX American Resources Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give REX?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($40.98)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $6.55 -84.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $15.56 -62.0%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $22.11 -46.0%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $40.79 -0.5%
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What Is REX's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $6.55 to $46.27

CirclFi's 11 active models place REX American Resources Corporation (REX) between $6.55 and $46.27 per share, a spread of 180% of the median. The median of that range — $22.11 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for REX, against a current price of $40.98.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$6.55median $22.11$46.27
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$6.55
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$46.27
Model agreement1 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for REX. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on REX, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is REX American Resources Corporation (REX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, REX American Resources Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $22.11, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $40.98. With 9 out of 11 models flagging downside (-46.0% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $46.27 (+12.9%), versus Bayesian DCF at $6.55 (-84.0%). This +96.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About REX?

11 of 13 models are currently active for REX. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for REX is $22.11 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $6.55 on its own, implying -84.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does REX Rank in Chemicals?

Among 17 Chemicals stocks, REX ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places REX in the top tier.

As a industrial enterprise, REX American Resources Corporation operates in a sector where order backlog depth is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating REX should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is REX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns REX a score of 32/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for REX American Resources Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, REX American Resources Corporation is rated at 8.3/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +96.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every REX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across REX's 11 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy REX American Resources Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Chemicals Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Chemicals stocks with 13-model coverage

GUREGulf Resources, Inc.QOC 5.0WLKPWestlake Chemical Partners LPQOC 8.3BAKBraskem S.A.QOC 5.8MEOHMethanex CorporationQOC 8.1ASPIASP Isotopes Inc.QOC 6.0LXULSB Industries, Inc.QOC 7.6ASIXAdvanSix Inc.QOC 7.6DOWDow Inc.QOC 6.8RYAMRayonier Advanced Materials Inc.QOC 6.6

Read investment analysis: GURE · WLKP · BAK · MEOH · ASPI · LXU · ASIX · DOW · RYAM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to REX?

7 companies across all industries closest to REX’s Quality of Company score of 8.3/10.

LOWLowe's Companies, Inc.QOC 8.3AMRXAmneal Pharmaceuticals, Inc.QOC 8.3EQIXEquinix, Inc.QOC 8.3MALGMicroalliance Group Inc.QOC 8.3THCTenet Healthcare CorporationQOC 8.3NSCNorfolk Southern CorporationQOC 8.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: LOW · AMRX · EQIX · MALG · THC · NSC · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About REX American Resources Corporation’s Valuation?

What is REX American Resources Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts REX American Resources Corporation (REX)'s intrinsic value at $22.11 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $6.55 to $46.27. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $6.55 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is REX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $40.98, 1 of 11 active models suggest REX may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $22.11, 46.0% below the current price of $40.98 — a consensus view that REX is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits REX American Resources Corporation's business model in Chemicals.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.3 mean for REX?

REX American Resources Corporation's QOC of 8.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on REX?

CirclFi analyzes REX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on REX?

Of the 11 models currently active on REX, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $46.27 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $6.55. CirclFi's published fair value for REX is the median of that range, $22.11, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 180% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is REX a value trap in 2026?

REX American Resources Corporation's Value Trap score is 32/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, REX American Resources Corporation (REX) has a median fair value of $22.11 — 46.0% below the current price of $40.98 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/REX/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this REX valuation
  • Financial statements: REX American Resources Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000744187) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for REX as of ; valuations recomputed .

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