Tronox Holdings plc (TROX) Fair Value 2026

TROX · Chemicals ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Tronox Holdings plc (TROX) trades at $5.40, versus a $18.29 median fair value across its 2 active models — 238.7% above the current price. QOC: 6.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
TROX
Price
$5.40
Quality Score
6.1/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +371.0% upside with 33% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (2/13) may reduce confidence

Is Tronox Holdings plc (TROX) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Tronox Holdings plc (TROX) appears undervalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $18.29, 238.7% above the current price of $5.40. Estimates range from $11.14 to $25.43. TROX scores 6.1/10 on fundamental quality and 13/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. TROX’s +238.7% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Chemicals sector median is -4.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Tronox Holdings plc Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give TROX?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($5.40)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Option-Based · Medium Conviction
 $25.43 +371.0%
Relative · Low Conviction
 $11.14 +106.4%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Tronox Holdings plc (TROX) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Tronox Holdings plc. Trading at $5.40 against an estimated intrinsic value of $18.29, 2 of 2 active models flag meaningful upside of +238.7% at the median. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $25.43 (+371.0%), while FTNN — the most conservative — estimates $11.14 (+106.4%). This +264.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Tronox Holdings plc's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About TROX?

2 of 13 models are currently active for TROX. All 2 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. Taken together, their median fair value for TROX is $18.29 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does TROX Rank in Chemicals?

Among 17 Chemicals stocks, TROX ranks #14 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.1 indicates above-average quality.

As a industrial sector, Tronox Holdings plc operates in a sector where margin expansion trajectory is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating TROX should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is TROX a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TROX a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Tronox Holdings plc. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Tronox Holdings plc's fundamental quality profile registers 6.1/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +264.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every TROX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across TROX's 2 active models, average confidence is 20%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Tronox Holdings plc Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Chemicals Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Chemicals stocks with 13-model coverage

RYAMRayonier Advanced Materials Inc.QOC 6.6ASPIASP Isotopes Inc.QOC 6.0ACNTAscent Industries Co.QOC 6.6BAKBraskem S.A.QOC 5.8GPREGreen Plains Inc.QOC 6.7GUREGulf Resources, Inc.QOC 5.1REXREX American Resources CorporationQOC 8.3ASIXAdvanSix Inc.QOC 7.6DOWDow Inc.QOC 6.8WLKPWestlake Chemical Partners LPQOC 8.3

Read investment analysis: RYAM · ASPI · ACNT · BAK · GPRE · GURE · REX · ASIX · DOW · WLKP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to TROX?

7 companies across all industries closest to TROX’s Quality of Company score of 6.1/10.

RNXTRenovoRx, Inc.QOC 6.1IOVAIovance Biotherapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.1MNTSMomentus Inc.QOC 6.1AYTUAytu BioPharma, Inc.QOC 6.1STWIStagewise Strategies Corp.QOC 6.1NSPRInspireMD, Inc.QOC 6.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RNXT · IOVA · MNTS · AYTU · STWI · NSPR · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Tronox Holdings plc’s Valuation?

What is Tronox Holdings plc's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Tronox Holdings plc (TROX)'s intrinsic value at $18.29 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $11.14 to $25.43. The Quality of Company score is 6.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is TROX overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $5.40, 2 of 2 active models suggest TROX may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $18.29, 238.7% above the current price of $5.40 — a consensus view that TROX is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Tronox Holdings plc's business model in Chemicals.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.1 mean for TROX?

Tronox Holdings plc's QOC of 6.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on TROX?

CirclFi analyzes TROX with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is TROX a value trap in 2026?

Tronox Holdings plc's Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Tronox Holdings plc (TROX) has a median fair value of $18.29 — 238.7% above the current price of $5.40 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/TROX/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this TROX valuation
  • Financial statements: Tronox Holdings plc 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001530804) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for TROX as of ; valuations recomputed .