Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (RYAM) Fair Value 2026

RYAM · Chemicals ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (RYAM) trades at $8.60, versus a $14.29 median fair value across its 7 active models — 66.2% above the current price. QOC: 6.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 7/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RYAM
Price
$8.60
Quality Score
6.6/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +168.2% upside with 60% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (7/13) may reduce confidence

Is Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (RYAM) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (RYAM) appears undervalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $14.29, 66.2% above the current price of $8.60. Estimates range from $6.52 to $23.06. RYAM scores 6.6/10 on fundamental quality and 13/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. RYAM’s +66.2% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Chemicals sector median is -4.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give RYAM?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($8.60)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $14.29 +66.2%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $23.06 +168.2%
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $6.52 -24.2%
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What Is RYAM's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $6.52 to $23.06

CirclFi's 7 active models place Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (RYAM) between $6.52 and $23.06 per share, a spread of 116% of the median. The median of that range — $14.29 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for RYAM, against a current price of $8.60.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · First Chicago
$6.52median $14.29$23.06
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$6.52
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$23.06
Model agreement5 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for RYAM. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on RYAM, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (RYAM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $14.29. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $8.60 (implied upside of +66.2%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 5 of 7 bullish models. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +168.2% (fair value: $23.06), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -24.2% ($6.52). The spread between these extremes — +192.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About RYAM?

7 of 13 models are currently active for RYAM. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for RYAM is $14.29 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RYAM Rank in Chemicals?

Among 17 Chemicals stocks, RYAM ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.6 indicates above-average quality.

As a manufacturing company, Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. operates in a sector where capacity utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating RYAM should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is RYAM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RYAM a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.6/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +192.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RYAM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RYAM's 7 active models, average confidence is 41%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Chemicals Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Chemicals stocks with 13-model coverage

ACNTAscent Industries Co.QOC 6.6TROXTronox Holdings plcQOC 6.1GPREGreen Plains Inc.QOC 6.7ASPIASP Isotopes Inc.QOC 6.0HUNHuntsman CorporationQOC 6.7BAKBraskem S.A.QOC 5.8GUREGulf Resources, Inc.QOC 5.1LXULSB Industries, Inc.QOC 7.6OLNOlin CorporationQOC 6.8REXREX American Resources CorporationQOC 8.3WLKPWestlake Chemical Partners LPQOC 8.3

Read investment analysis: ACNT · TROX · GPRE · ASPI · HUN · BAK · GURE · LXU · OLN · REX · WLKP

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to RYAM?

7 companies across all industries closest to RYAM’s Quality of Company score of 6.6/10.

MAGNMagnera CorporationQOC 6.6FORRForrester Research, Inc.QOC 6.6COE51Talk Online Education GroupQOC 6.6WLTHWealthfront CorporationQOC 6.6AXSMAxsome Therapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.6NXTTNext Technology Holding Inc.QOC 6.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MAGN · FORR · COE · WLTH · AXSM · NXTT · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (RYAM)'s intrinsic value at $14.29 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $6.52 to $23.06. The Quality of Company score is 6.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RYAM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $8.60, 5 of 7 active models suggest RYAM may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $14.29, 66.2% above the current price of $8.60 — a consensus view that RYAM is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.'s business model in Chemicals.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.6 mean for RYAM?

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.'s QOC of 6.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RYAM?

CirclFi analyzes RYAM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on RYAM?

Of the 7 models currently active on RYAM, First Chicago is the most bullish at $23.06 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $6.52. CirclFi's published fair value for RYAM is the median of that range, $14.29, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 116% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is RYAM a value trap in 2026?

Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc.'s Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. (RYAM) has a median fair value of $14.29 — 66.2% above the current price of $8.60 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RYAM/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this RYAM valuation
  • Financial statements: Rayonier Advanced Materials Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001597672) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for RYAM as of ; valuations recomputed .

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