Olin Corporation (OLN) Fair Value 2026

OLN · Chemicals & Allied Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (24/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Olin Corporation (OLN) trades at $21.13. QOC: 5.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 24/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
OLN
Price
$21.13
Quality Score
5.3/10
Value Trap Risk
24/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: CUCE Ensemble suggests +173.8% upside with 10% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($21.13)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$57.83 +173.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$57.86 +173.8%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$22.23 +5.2%
EROIC Spread
High Conviction
$2.58 -87.8%

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What Is Olin Corporation (OLN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Olin Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $35.48, suggesting a +67.9% average upside from the current price of $21.13. While 7 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 4 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: RCMH-DCF targets $77.52 (+266.9%), versus EROIC at $2.58 (-87.8%). This +354.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About OLN?

11 of 13 models are currently active for OLN. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does OLN Rank in Chemicals & Allied Products?

Among 14 Chemicals & Allied Products stocks, OLN ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.3 reflects mixed fundamentals.

As a industrial enterprise, Olin Corporation operates in a sector where organic revenue growth is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating OLN should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is OLN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns OLN a score of 24/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Olin Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Olin Corporation is rated at 5.3/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +354.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every OLN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across OLN's 11 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Olin Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Chemicals & Allied Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Chemicals & Allied Products stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: BCPC · SOLS · IOSP · FMC · LOOP

Frequently Asked Questions About Olin Corporation

What is Olin Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Olin Corporation (OLN) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 5.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is OLN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $21.13, 7 of 11 active models suggest OLN may be undervalued, while 4 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Olin Corporation's business model in Chemicals & Allied Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.3 mean for OLN?

Olin Corporation's QOC of 5.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on OLN?

CirclFi analyzes OLN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is OLN a value trap in 2026?

Olin Corporation's Value Trap score is 24/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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