Gulf Resources, Inc. (GURE) Fair Value 2026

GURE · Chemicals & Allied Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (8/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Gulf Resources, Inc. (GURE) trades at $3.45, approximately 44% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $6.16. QOC: 4.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 8/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GURE
Price
$3.45
Quality Score
4.9/10
Value Trap Risk
8/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: Markov DDM suggests +97.8% upside with 25% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.9/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Gulf Resources, Inc. (GURE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Gulf Resources, Inc. (GURE) appears undervalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $6.45, 86.9% above the current price of $3.45. Estimates range from $6.16 to $6.82. GURE scores 4.9/10 on fundamental quality and 8/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Gulf Resources, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.45)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Medium Conviction
 $6.16 +78.6%
PWERM
Medium Conviction
 $6.45 +86.9%
Markov DDM
Medium Conviction
 $6.82 +97.8%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is Gulf Resources, Inc. (GURE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Gulf Resources, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $6.48. At a current market price of $3.45, 3 of 3 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting an average implied return of +87.8%.

What Do the Models Say About GURE?

3 of 13 models are currently active for GURE. All 3 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates GURE's intrinsic value at $6.16, implying +78.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GURE Rank in Chemicals & Allied Products?

Among 14 Chemicals & Allied Products stocks, GURE ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Within the Chemicals & Allied Products space, Gulf Resources, Inc. competes in an environment where organic revenue growth often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is GURE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GURE a score of 8/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for Gulf Resources, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Gulf Resources, Inc. is rated at 4.9/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

Models cluster within a tight range (+19.2% spread), increasing conviction. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GURE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GURE's 3 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Gulf Resources, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Chemicals & Allied Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Chemicals & Allied Products stocks with 13-model coverage

BCPCBalchem CorporationQOC 8.8SOLSSolstice Advanced Materials IncQOC 8.7IOSPInnospec Inc.QOC 8.4FMCFMC CorporationQOC 6.6ECVTEcovyst Inc.QOC 6.5HUNHuntsman CorporationQOC 6.4CCChemours Company (The)QOC 6.2LOOPLoop Industries, Inc.QOC 5.9

Read investment analysis: BCPC · SOLS · IOSP · FMC · ECVT

Frequently Asked Questions About Gulf Resources, Inc.

What is Gulf Resources, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Gulf Resources, Inc. (GURE) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $6.16. The Quality of Company score is 4.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GURE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.45, 3 of 3 active models suggest GURE may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $6.45, 86.9% above the current price of $3.45 — a consensus view that GURE is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Gulf Resources, Inc.'s business model in Chemicals & Allied Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.9 mean for GURE?

Gulf Resources, Inc.'s QOC of 4.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GURE?

CirclFi analyzes GURE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GURE a value trap in 2026?

Gulf Resources, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 8/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, Gulf Resources, Inc. (GURE) has a median fair value of $6.45 — 86.9% above the current price of $3.45 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GURE/ · Methodology