Valhi, Inc. (VHI) Fair Value 2026

VHI · Chemicals ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, Valhi, Inc. (VHI) trades at $18.04, versus a $10.22 median fair value across its 9 active models — 43.3% below the current price. QOC: 6.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
VHI
Price
$18.04
Quality Score
6.9/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: 9 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Valhi, Inc. (VHI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Valhi, Inc. (VHI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $10.22, 43.3% below the current price of $18.04. Estimates range from $0.48 to $61.69. VHI scores 6.9/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. VHI’s -43.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Chemicals sector median is -4.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Valhi, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give VHI?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($18.04)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.73 -57.1%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $12.50 -30.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.63 -57.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.48 -97.3%
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What Is VHI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $0.48 to $61.69

CirclFi's 9 active models place Valhi, Inc. (VHI) between $0.48 and $61.69 per share, a spread of 599% of the median. The median of that range — $10.22 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for VHI, against a current price of $18.04.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · PWERM
$0.48median $10.22$61.69
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$0.48
Most bullish modelPWERM$61.69
Model agreement3 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for VHI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on VHI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Valhi, Inc. (VHI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Valhi, Inc. at its current price of $18.04. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $10.22 (-43.3% vs price), with 6 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $61.69 (+242.0%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.48 (-97.3%). This +339.3% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Valhi, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About VHI?

9 of 13 models are currently active for VHI. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for VHI is $10.22 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does VHI Rank in Chemicals?

Among 17 Chemicals stocks, VHI ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.9 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Chemicals space, Valhi, Inc. competes in an environment where aftermarket revenue mix often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is VHI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns VHI a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Valhi, Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Valhi, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.9/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +339.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every VHI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across VHI's 9 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Valhi, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Chemicals Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Chemicals stocks with 13-model coverage

CECelanese CorporationQOC 7.2OLNOlin CorporationQOC 6.8ASIXAdvanSix Inc.QOC 7.6DOWDow Inc.QOC 6.8LXULSB Industries, Inc.QOC 7.6HUNHuntsman CorporationQOC 6.7GPREGreen Plains Inc.QOC 6.7ASPIASP Isotopes Inc.QOC 6.0WLKPWestlake Chemical Partners LPQOC 8.3REXREX American Resources CorporationQOC 8.3

Read investment analysis: CE · OLN · ASIX · DOW · LXU · HUN · GPRE · ASPI · WLKP · REX

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to VHI?

7 companies across all industries closest to VHI’s Quality of Company score of 6.9/10.

WSBFWaterstone Financial, Inc.QOC 6.9SACHSachem Capital Corp.QOC 6.9AVBHAvidbank Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.9SABRSabre CorporationQOC 6.9RGRSturm, Ruger & Company, Inc.QOC 6.9BLFSBioLife Solutions, Inc.QOC 6.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: WSBF · SACH · AVBH · SABR · RGR · BLFS · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Valhi, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Valhi, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Valhi, Inc. (VHI)'s intrinsic value at $10.22 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.48 to $61.69. The Quality of Company score is 6.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is VHI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $18.04, 3 of 9 active models suggest VHI may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $10.22, 43.3% below the current price of $18.04 — a consensus view that VHI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Valhi, Inc.'s business model in Chemicals.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.9 mean for VHI?

Valhi, Inc.'s QOC of 6.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on VHI?

CirclFi analyzes VHI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on VHI?

Of the 9 models currently active on VHI, PWERM is the most bullish at $61.69 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $0.48. CirclFi's published fair value for VHI is the median of that range, $10.22, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 599% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is VHI a value trap in 2026?

Valhi, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Valhi, Inc. (VHI) has a median fair value of $10.22 — 43.3% below the current price of $18.04 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/VHI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this VHI valuation
  • Financial statements: Valhi, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000059255) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for VHI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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