Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) Fair Value 2026

NPT · Specialty Retail ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 2 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) trades at $3.53, versus a $2.29 median fair value across its 2 active models — 35.1% below the current price. QOC: 2.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 2/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NPT
Price
$3.53
Quality Score
2.4/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
2/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +16.3% upside with 8% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.4/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 2 independent fair value estimates is $2.29, 35.1% below the current price of $3.53. Estimates range from $0.48 to $4.10. NPT scores 2.4/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. NPT’s -35.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Retail sector median is -15.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Texxon Holding Limited Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NPT?

2 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.53)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Low Conviction
 $0.48 -86.4%
Option-Based · Low Conviction
 $4.10 +16.3%

All Models Active

All 2 models are displayed above.

What Is Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Texxon Holding Limited presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $3.53. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $2.29 (-35.1% median upside), masking a wide model spread between the 1 bullish models and 1 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $4.10 (+16.3%), versus Markov DDM at $0.48 (-86.4%). This +102.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About NPT?

2 of 13 models are currently active for NPT. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for NPT is $2.29 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NPT Rank in Specialty Retail?

Among 49 Specialty Retail stocks, NPT ranks #49 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.4 signals below-average fundamentals.

Texxon Holding Limited's positioning within the Specialty Retail segment means that inventory turnover plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including geographic expansion — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is NPT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NPT a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

2 of 13 models are active for Texxon Holding Limited. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Texxon Holding Limited scores 2.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +102.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NPT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NPT's 2 active models, average confidence is 11%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Texxon Holding Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Retail Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Specialty Retail stocks with 13-model coverage

TKLFTokyo Lifestyle Co., Ltd.QOC 2.6WSMWilliams-Sonoma, Inc.QOC 9.3ABLVAble View Global Inc.QOC 2.7ARHSArhaus, Inc.QOC 8.9PTLEPTL LimitedQOC 2.7ULTAUlta Beauty, Inc.QOC 8.7TSCOTractor Supply CompanyQOC 8.3BNEDBarnes & Noble Education, Inc.QOC 6.9CHPTChargePoint Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.6

Read investment analysis: TKLF · WSM · ABLV · ARHS · PTLE · ULTA · TSCO · BNED · CHPT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NPT?

7 companies across all industries closest to NPT’s Quality of Company score of 2.4/10.

GDEVGDEV Inc.QOC 2.4AIOSAIOS Tech Inc.QOC 2.4RETOReTo Eco-Solutions, Inc.QOC 2.4EVAXEvaxion A/SQOC 2.4USASAmericas Gold and Silver CorporationQOC 2.4NIPGNIP Group Inc.QOC 2.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: GDEV · AIOS · RETO · EVAX · USAS · NIPG · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Texxon Holding Limited’s Valuation?

What is Texxon Holding Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Texxon Holding Limited (NPT)'s intrinsic value at $2.29 — the median of 2 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.48 to $4.10. The Quality of Company score is 2.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NPT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.53, 1 of 2 active models suggest NPT may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 2 fair value estimates is $2.29, 35.1% below the current price of $3.53 — a consensus view that NPT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Texxon Holding Limited's business model in Specialty Retail.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.4 mean for NPT?

Texxon Holding Limited's QOC of 2.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NPT?

CirclFi analyzes NPT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 2 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is NPT a value trap in 2026?

Texxon Holding Limited's Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 2-model valuation engine, Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) has a median fair value of $2.29 — 35.1% below the current price of $3.53 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NPT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NPT valuation
  • Financial statements: Texxon Holding Limited 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002014337) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for NPT as of ; valuations recomputed .