Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) Fair Value 2026

NPT · Wholesale-Chemicals & Allied Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

1.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) trades at $2.72, approximately 1956% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.13. QOC: 1.9/10. 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
NPT
Price
$2.72
Quality Score
1.9/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +302.0% upside with 18% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 1.9/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.72)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.13 -95.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$1.12 -58.7%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$10.93 +302.0%
Regime Cross-Sectional
Low Conviction
$0.08 -97.0%

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What Is Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Texxon Holding Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $2.34. Trading at $2.72, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -13.8%), as 6 of 9 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: First Chicago targets $10.93 (+302.0%), versus Regime Cross at $0.08 (-97.0%). This +399.0% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About NPT?

9 of 13 models are currently active for NPT. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NPT's intrinsic value at $0.13, implying -95.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NPT Rank in Wholesale-Chemicals & Allied Products?

Among 3 Wholesale-Chemicals & Allied Products stocks, NPT ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 1.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 1.9 signals below-average fundamentals.

Texxon Holding Limited's positioning within the Wholesale-Chemicals & Allied Products segment means that order backlog depth plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including electrification tailwinds — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is NPT a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for NPT. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Texxon Holding Limited. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Texxon Holding Limited scores 1.9 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +399.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NPT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NPT's 9 active models, average confidence is 10%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Texxon Holding Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Wholesale-Chemicals & Allied Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

2 related Wholesale-Chemicals & Allied Products stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: HWKN · ASH

Frequently Asked Questions About Texxon Holding Limited

What is Texxon Holding Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Texxon Holding Limited (NPT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.13. The Quality of Company score is 1.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NPT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.72, 1 of 9 active models suggest NPT may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Texxon Holding Limited's business model in Wholesale-Chemicals & Allied Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 1.9 mean for NPT?

Texxon Holding Limited's QOC of 1.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NPT?

CirclFi analyzes NPT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is NPT a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for NPT at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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