General Mills, Inc. (GIS) Fair Value 2026

GIS · Packaged Foods ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (13/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, General Mills, Inc. (GIS) trades at $41.55, versus a $52.52 median fair value across its 10 active models — 26.4% above the current price. QOC: 6.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 13/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $51.32.

Key Facts

Ticker
GIS
Price
$41.55
Quality Score
6.2/10
Value Trap Risk
13/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +139.9% upside with 87% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (10/13) may reduce confidence

Is General Mills, Inc. (GIS) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, General Mills, Inc. (GIS) appears undervalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $52.52, 26.4% above the current price of $41.55. Estimates range from $0.61 to $99.69. GIS scores 6.2/10 on fundamental quality and 13/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. GIS’s +26.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Packaged Foods sector median is -16.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy General Mills, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give GIS?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($41.55)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $51.32 +23.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $99.69 +139.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $54.26 +30.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $53.72 +29.3%
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What Is GIS's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $0.61 to $99.69

CirclFi's 10 active models place General Mills, Inc. (GIS) between $0.61 and $99.69 per share, a spread of 189% of the median. The median of that range — $52.52 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for GIS, against a current price of $41.55.

Low · Sentiment SOTPHigh · EPV
$0.61median $52.52$99.69
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelSentiment SOTP$0.61
Most bullish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$99.69
Model agreement6 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for GIS. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on GIS, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is General Mills, Inc. (GIS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, General Mills, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $52.52, suggesting a +26.4% median upside from the current price of $41.55. While 6 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 3 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: EPV targets $99.69 (+139.9%), versus Sentiment SOTP at $0.61 (-98.5%). This +238.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About GIS?

10 of 13 models are currently active for GIS. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for GIS is $52.52 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $51.32 on its own, implying +23.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GIS Rank in Packaged Foods?

Among 84 Packaged Foods stocks, GIS ranks #42 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.2 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Packaged Foods Stocks →

As a consumer-facing company, General Mills, Inc. operates in a sector where same-store sales growth (comps) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating GIS should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is GIS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GIS a score of 13/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for General Mills, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, General Mills, Inc. is rated at 6.2/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +238.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GIS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GIS's 10 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy General Mills, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Packaged Foods Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Packaged Foods stocks with 13-model coverage

BHSTBioHarvest Sciences Inc. Common StockQOC 6.2BRCCBRC Inc.QOC 6.1BGSB&G Foods, Inc.QOC 6.3UMEWUMeWorld Inc.QOC 5.8NCRANocera, Inc.QOC 6.3CYANCyanotech CorporationQOC 5.8CFOOChina Foods Holdings Ltd.QOC 5.1FAMIFarmmi, Inc.QOC 1.6HRLHormel Foods CorporationQOC 7.8PPCPilgrim's Pride CorporationQOC 9.0JJSFJ&J Snack Foods Corp.QOC 8.9

Read investment analysis: BHST · BRCC · BGS · UMEW · NCRA · CYAN · CFOO · FAMI · HRL · PPC · JJSF

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to GIS?

7 companies across all industries closest to GIS’s Quality of Company score of 6.2/10.

MAASMaase Inc.QOC 6.2SMJFSMJ International Holdings Inc.QOC 6.2FUFUBitFuFu Inc.QOC 6.2PARPAR Technology CorporationQOC 6.2ZDGEZedge, Inc.QOC 6.2AVBCAvidia Bancorp, Inc.QOC 6.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MAAS · SMJF · FUFU · PAR · ZDGE · AVBC · NVDA

Where Does GIS Sit in CirclFi's Packaged Foods Rankings?

GIS is ranked against every other Packaged Foods stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Packaged Foods stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About General Mills, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is General Mills, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts General Mills, Inc. (GIS)'s intrinsic value at $52.52 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $0.61 to $99.69. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $51.32 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GIS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $41.55, 7 of 10 active models suggest GIS may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $52.52, 26.4% above the current price of $41.55 — a consensus view that GIS is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits General Mills, Inc.'s business model in Packaged Foods.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.2 mean for GIS?

General Mills, Inc.'s QOC of 6.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GIS?

CirclFi analyzes GIS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on GIS?

Of the 10 models currently active on GIS, Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bullish at $99.69 per share, and Sentiment SOTP is the most bearish at $0.61. CirclFi's published fair value for GIS is the median of that range, $52.52, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 189% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is GIS a value trap in 2026?

General Mills, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 13/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, General Mills, Inc. (GIS) has a median fair value of $52.52 — 26.4% above the current price of $41.55 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GIS/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this GIS valuation
  • Financial statements: General Mills, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000040704) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for GIS as of ; valuations recomputed .

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