Farmmi, Inc. Ordinary Shares (FAMI) Fair Value 2026

FAMI · Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 4 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (15/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Farmmi, Inc. Ordinary Shares (FAMI) trades at $0.19, approximately 51% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.39. QOC: 2.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 15/100 (SAFE). 4/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
FAMI
Price
$0.19
Quality Score
2.1/10
Value Trap Risk
15/100
Models Active
4/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +105.2% upside with 10% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.1/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

4 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.19)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
 $0.39 +105.2%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
 $0.01 -92.3%

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What Is Farmmi, Inc. Ordinary Shares (FAMI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the weight of evidence tilts decidedly bullish for Farmmi, Inc. Ordinary Shares. Trading at $0.19 against an estimated intrinsic value of $0.54, 3 of 4 active models flag meaningful upside of +187.7% on average. The most optimistic model, EROIC, places fair value at $1.10 (+484.1%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $0.01 (-92.3%). This +576.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Farmmi, Inc. Ordinary Shares's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About FAMI?

4 of 13 models are currently active for FAMI. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 1 model suggests overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates FAMI's intrinsic value at $0.39, implying +105.2% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does FAMI Rank in Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies?

Among 4 Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies stocks, FAMI ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.1 signals below-average fundamentals.

Farmmi, Inc. Ordinary Shares operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is FAMI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns FAMI a score of 15/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

4 of 13 models are active for Farmmi, Inc. Ordinary Shares. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Farmmi, Inc. Ordinary Shares's fundamental quality profile registers 2.1/10. This concerning score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +576.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every FAMI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across FAMI's 4 active models, average confidence is 11%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Farmmi, Inc. Ordinary Shares Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

3 related Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies stocks with 13-model coverage

SENEASeneca Foods Corp.QOC 8.2SENEBSeneca Foods Corp.QOC 8.2SJMThe J.M. Smucker CompanyQOC 6.2

Read investment analysis: SENEA · SENEB · SJM

Frequently Asked Questions About Farmmi, Inc. Ordinary Shares

What is Farmmi, Inc. Ordinary Shares's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Farmmi, Inc. Ordinary Shares (FAMI) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.39. The Quality of Company score is 2.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is FAMI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.19, 3 of 4 active models suggest FAMI may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Farmmi, Inc. Ordinary Shares's business model in Canned, Fruits, Veg, Preserves, Jams & Jellies.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.1 mean for FAMI?

Farmmi, Inc. Ordinary Shares's QOC of 2.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on FAMI?

CirclFi analyzes FAMI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 4 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is FAMI a value trap in 2026?

Farmmi, Inc. Ordinary Shares's Value Trap score is 15/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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