The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (HAIN) Fair Value 2026

HAIN · Food and Kindred Products ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 3 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (15/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (HAIN) trades at $0.59. QOC: 6.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 15/100 (SAFE). 3/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
HAIN
Price
$0.59
Quality Score
6.0/10
Value Trap Risk
15/100
Models Active
3/13
Last Updated
Strength: PWERM suggests +66.8% upside with 45% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (HAIN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (HAIN) appears overvalued as of : the median of 3 independent fair value estimates is $0.29, 50.2% below the current price of $0.59. Estimates range from $0.16 to $0.98. HAIN scores 6.0/10 on fundamental quality and 15/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

3 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.59)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
First Chicago
High Conviction
 $0.29 -50.2%
ML-RIV
Medium Conviction
 $0.16 -73.1%
PWERM
Medium Conviction
 $0.98 +66.8%

All Models Active

All 3 models are displayed above.

What Is The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (HAIN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $0.48. Trading at $0.59, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -18.9%), as 2 of 3 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $0.98 (+66.8%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.16 (-73.1%). This +139.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About HAIN?

3 of 13 models are currently active for HAIN. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HAIN Rank in Food and Kindred Products?

Among 22 Food and Kindred Products stocks, HAIN ranks #11 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.0 reflects mixed fundamentals.

The Food and Kindred Products sector introduces analytical considerations specific to consumer businesses. For The Hain Celestial Group, Inc., metrics like customer lifetime value (CLV) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is HAIN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HAIN a score of 15/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

3 of 13 models are active for The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. scores 6.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +139.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HAIN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HAIN's 3 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Food and Kindred Products Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Food and Kindred Products stocks with 13-model coverage

VITLVital Farms, Inc.QOC 10.0BRBRBellRing Brands, Inc.QOC 8.5NOMDNomad Foods LimitedQOC 8.4CPBThe Campbell's CompanyQOC 8.3FLOFlowers Foods, Inc.QOC 8.2MDLZMondelez International, Inc.QOC 8.1SMPLThe Simply Good Foods CompanyQOC 7.7CAGConAgra Brands, Inc.QOC 7.1

Read investment analysis: VITL · BRBR · NOMD · CPB · FLO

Frequently Asked Questions About The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.

What is The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (HAIN) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value. The Quality of Company score is 6.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HAIN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.59, 1 of 3 active models suggest HAIN may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 3 fair value estimates is $0.29, 50.2% below the current price of $0.59 — a consensus view that HAIN is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.'s business model in Food and Kindred Products.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.0 mean for HAIN?

The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.'s QOC of 6.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HAIN?

CirclFi analyzes HAIN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 3 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is HAIN a value trap in 2026?

The Hain Celestial Group, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 15/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 3-model valuation engine, The Hain Celestial Group, Inc. (HAIN) has a median fair value of $0.29 — 50.2% below the current price of $0.59 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HAIN/ · Methodology