Tenet Healthcare Corporation (THC) Fair Value 2026

THC · Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Tenet Healthcare Corporation (THC) trades at $194.83, approximately 222% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $60.42. QOC: 8.1/10. 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
THC
Price
$194.83
Quality Score
8.1/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +46.1% upside with 59% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($194.83)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$60.42 -69.0%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$214.25 +10.0%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$175.77 -9.8%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$284.60 +46.1%

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What Is Tenet Healthcare Corporation (THC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Tenet Healthcare Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $209.99, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $194.83. With an average implied return of +7.8% across a split 5–5 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +343.5% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +262.5% (fair value: $706.35), while Regime Cross is the most conservative at -81.0% ($37.02). The spread between these extremes — +343.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About THC?

12 of 13 models are currently active for THC. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates THC's intrinsic value at $60.42, implying -69.0% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does THC Rank in Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC?

Among 5 Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC stocks, THC ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places THC in the top tier.

Tenet Healthcare Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is THC a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for THC. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Tenet Healthcare Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Tenet Healthcare Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.1/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +343.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every THC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across THC's 12 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Tenet Healthcare Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

4 related Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: UHS · HCA · CYH · SGRY

Frequently Asked Questions About Tenet Healthcare Corporation

What is Tenet Healthcare Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Tenet Healthcare Corporation (THC) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $60.42. The Quality of Company score is 8.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is THC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $194.83, 6 of 12 active models suggest THC may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Tenet Healthcare Corporation's business model in Services-General Medical & Surgical Hospitals, NEC.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.1 mean for THC?

Tenet Healthcare Corporation's QOC of 8.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on THC?

CirclFi analyzes THC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is THC a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for THC at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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