Clearfield, Inc. (CLFD) Fair Value 2026

CLFD · Communication Equipment ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Clearfield, Inc. (CLFD) trades at $29.96, versus a $10.30 median fair value across its 11 active models — 65.6% below the current price. QOC: 6.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $13.60.

Key Facts

Ticker
CLFD
Price
$29.96
Quality Score
6.9/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: 11 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Clearfield, Inc. (CLFD) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Clearfield, Inc. (CLFD) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $10.30, 65.6% below the current price of $29.96. Estimates range from $4.63 to $37.51. CLFD scores 6.9/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. CLFD’s -65.6% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Communication Equipment sector median is -50.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Clearfield, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give CLFD?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($29.96)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $13.60 -54.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.63 -84.5%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $10.70 -64.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $10.41 -65.3%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 7 additional models including EROIC Spread, ML-RIV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 11 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is CLFD's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $4.63 to $37.51

CirclFi's 11 active models place Clearfield, Inc. (CLFD) between $4.63 and $37.51 per share, a spread of 319% of the median. The median of that range — $10.30 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for CLFD, against a current price of $29.96.

Low · EPVHigh · Regime Cross
$4.63median $10.30$37.51
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$4.63
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$37.51
Model agreement1 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for CLFD. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on CLFD, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Clearfield, Inc. (CLFD) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Clearfield, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $10.30, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $29.96. With 9 out of 11 models flagging downside (-65.6% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $37.51 (+25.2%), versus EPV at $4.63 (-84.5%). This +109.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CLFD?

11 of 13 models are currently active for CLFD. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for CLFD is $10.30 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $13.60 on its own, implying -54.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CLFD Rank in Communication Equipment?

Among 47 Communication Equipment stocks, CLFD ranks #26 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.9 indicates above-average quality.

As a media and communications company, Clearfield, Inc. operates in a sector where spectrum holdings value is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CLFD should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is CLFD a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CLFD a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Clearfield, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Clearfield, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.9/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +109.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CLFD valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CLFD's 11 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Clearfield, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Communication Equipment Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Communication Equipment stocks with 13-model coverage

NTGRNETGEAR, Inc.QOC 6.9VISNVistance Networks, Inc.QOC 6.8OCCOptical Cable CorporationQOC 7.0INSGInseego Corp.QOC 6.8ONDSOndas Inc.QOC 7.0FKWLFranklin Wireless Corp.QOC 6.7AMPGAmpliTech Group, Inc.QOC 6.3UIUbiquiti Inc.QOC 9.3HLITHarmonic Inc.QOC 7.9BKTIBK Technologies CorporationQOC 9.6

Read investment analysis: NTGR · VISN · OCC · INSG · ONDS · FKWL · AMPG · UI · HLIT · BKTI

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to CLFD?

7 companies across all industries closest to CLFD’s Quality of Company score of 6.9/10.

CIMChimera Investment CorporationQOC 6.9LSFLaird Superfood, Inc.QOC 6.9KHCThe Kraft Heinz CompanyQOC 6.9ARAYAccuray IncorporatedQOC 6.9KMPRKemper CorporationQOC 6.9FHTXFoghorn Therapeutics Inc.QOC 6.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CIM · LSF · KHC · ARAY · KMPR · FHTX · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Clearfield, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Clearfield, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Clearfield, Inc. (CLFD)'s intrinsic value at $10.30 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $4.63 to $37.51. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $13.60 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CLFD overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $29.96, 1 of 11 active models suggest CLFD may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $10.30, 65.6% below the current price of $29.96 — a consensus view that CLFD is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Clearfield, Inc.'s business model in Communication Equipment.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.9 mean for CLFD?

Clearfield, Inc.'s QOC of 6.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CLFD?

CirclFi analyzes CLFD with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on CLFD?

Of the 11 models currently active on CLFD, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $37.51 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $4.63. CirclFi's published fair value for CLFD is the median of that range, $10.30, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 319% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is CLFD a value trap in 2026?

Clearfield, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Clearfield, Inc. (CLFD) has a median fair value of $10.30 — 65.6% below the current price of $29.96 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/CLFD/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this CLFD valuation
  • Financial statements: Clearfield, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000796505) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for CLFD as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 11 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on CLFD.

Unlock All 11 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

7 models hidden for CLFD Unlock All 11 — $39/mo