Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) Fair Value 2026

AOSL · Semiconductors ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 6 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (16/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) trades at $29.94, versus a $13.46 median fair value across its 6 active models — 55.1% below the current price. QOC: 6.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 16/100 (SAFE). 6/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
AOSL
Price
$29.94
Quality Score
6.8/10
Value Trap Risk
16/100
Models Active
6/13
Last Updated
Strength: 6 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) appears overvalued as of : the median of 6 independent fair value estimates is $13.46, 55.1% below the current price of $29.94. Estimates range from $4.22 to $58.08. AOSL scores 6.8/10 on fundamental quality and 16/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. AOSL’s -55.1% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Semiconductors sector median is -64.7%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AOSL?

6 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($29.94)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.95 -80.1%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $11.61 -61.2%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $4.22 -85.9%
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What Is AOSL's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 6 independent models · $4.22 to $58.08

CirclFi's 6 active models place Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) between $4.22 and $58.08 per share, a spread of 400% of the median. The median of that range — $13.46 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AOSL, against a current price of $29.94.

Low · First ChicagoHigh · FTNN
$4.22median $13.46$58.08
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelFirst Chicago$4.22
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$58.08
Model agreement1 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AOSL. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AOSL, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at $13.46, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $29.94. With 5 out of 6 models flagging downside (-55.1% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $58.08 (+94.0%), while First Chicago — the most conservative — estimates $4.22 (-85.9%). This +179.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About AOSL?

6 of 13 models are currently active for AOSL. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AOSL is $13.46 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AOSL Rank in Semiconductors?

Among 71 Semiconductors stocks, AOSL ranks #39 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Semiconductors Stocks →

As a semiconductor industry, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited operates in a sector where inventory days is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating AOSL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is AOSL a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AOSL a score of 16/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

6 of 13 models are active for Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited's fundamental quality profile registers 6.8/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +179.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AOSL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AOSL's 6 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductors Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Semiconductors stocks with 13-model coverage

NVTSNavitas Semiconductor CorporationQOC 6.8INTCIntel CorporationQOC 6.8VSHVishay Intertechnology, Inc.QOC 6.8ALGMAllegro MicroSystems, Inc.QOC 6.8MRAMEverspin Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.0LASRnLIGHT, Inc.QOC 6.7AMBQAmbiq Micro, Inc.QOC 4.9MPWRMonolithic Power Systems, Inc.QOC 9.5MCHPMicrochip Technology IncorporatedQOC 8.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0AVGOBroadcom Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: NVTS · INTC · VSH · ALGM · MRAM · LASR · AMBQ · MPWR · MCHP · NVDA · AVGO

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AOSL?

5 companies across all industries closest to AOSL’s Quality of Company score of 6.8/10.

BHCBausch Health Companies Inc.QOC 6.8ESOAEnergy Services of America CorporationQOC 6.8COHUCohu, Inc.QOC 6.8CIMChimera Investment CorporationQOC 6.8KRMNKarman Holdings Inc.QOC 6.8

Read investment analysis: BHC · ESOA · COHU · CIM · KRMN

Where Does AOSL Sit in CirclFi's Semiconductors Rankings?

AOSL is ranked against every other Semiconductors stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Semiconductors stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited’s Valuation?

What is Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL)'s intrinsic value at $13.46 — the median of 6 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $4.22 to $58.08. The Quality of Company score is 6.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AOSL overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $29.94, 1 of 6 active models suggest AOSL may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 6 fair value estimates is $13.46, 55.1% below the current price of $29.94 — a consensus view that AOSL is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited's business model in Semiconductors.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.8 mean for AOSL?

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited's QOC of 6.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AOSL?

CirclFi analyzes AOSL with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 6 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AOSL?

Of the 6 models currently active on AOSL, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $58.08 per share, and First Chicago is the most bearish at $4.22. CirclFi's published fair value for AOSL is the median of that range, $13.46, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 400% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AOSL a value trap in 2026?

Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited's Value Trap score is 16/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 6-model valuation engine, Alpha and Omega Semiconductor Limited (AOSL) has a median fair value of $13.46 — 55.1% below the current price of $29.94 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AOSL/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AOSL valuation

Market data for AOSL as of ; valuations recomputed .

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