Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) Fair Value 2026

CPS · Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (14/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-14, Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) trades at $27.55, approximately 48% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $18.60. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 14/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CPS
Price
$27.55
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
14/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +306.3% upside with 23% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($27.55)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$18.60 -32.5%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$111.92 +306.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$35.85 +30.1%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$30.98 +12.4%

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What Is Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $40.59, suggesting a +47.3% average upside from the current price of $27.55. While 8 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 3 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: EPV targets $111.92 (+306.3%), versus Bayesian DCF at $18.60 (-32.5%). This +338.7% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About CPS?

11 of 13 models are currently active for CPS. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CPS's intrinsic value at $18.60, implying -32.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CPS Rank in Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories?

Among 34 Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories stocks, CPS ranks #26 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories Stocks →

Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.'s positioning within the Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories segment means that EBIT per unit plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including software-defined vehicle revenue — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is CPS a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CPS a score of 14/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. scores 6.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a solid rating that maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +338.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CPS valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CPS's 11 active models, average confidence is 33%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: DORM · ALV · ALSN · ATMU · GNTX

See all Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.

What is Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc. (CPS) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $18.60. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CPS overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $27.55, 8 of 11 active models suggest CPS may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.'s business model in Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for CPS?

Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.'s QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CPS?

CirclFi analyzes CPS with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CPS a value trap in 2026?

Cooper-Standard Holdings Inc.'s Value Trap score is 14/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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