SES AI Corporation (SES) Fair Value 2026

SES · Auto Parts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (35/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, SES AI Corporation (SES) trades at $0.52. QOC: 5.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 35/100 (LOW). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SES
Price
$0.52
Quality Score
5.5/10
Value Trap Risk
35/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: 1 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SES?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.52)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · High Conviction
 $0.37 -29.3%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is SES AI Corporation (SES) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, SES AI Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $0.37, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $0.52. With 1 out of 1 models flagging downside (-29.3% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth.

What Do the Models Say About SES?

1 of 13 models are currently active for SES. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SES Rank in Auto Parts?

Among 57 Auto Parts stocks, SES ranks #48 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.5 reflects mixed fundamentals.

See all Most Undervalued Auto Parts Stocks →

As a vehicle manufacturer, SES AI Corporation operates in a sector where fleet electrification pace is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating SES should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is SES a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SES a score of 35/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for SES AI Corporation. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, SES AI Corporation is rated at 5.5/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SES valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SES's 1 active models, average confidence is 59%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SES AI Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Auto Parts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Auto Parts stocks with 13-model coverage

ECXECARX Holdings Inc.QOC 5.6AURAurora Innovation, Inc.QOC 5.5GTThe Goodyear Tire & Rubber CompanyQOC 5.9VGNTVersigent PLCQOC 5.4PRTSCarParts.com, Inc.QOC 6.0INVZInnoviz Technologies Ltd.QOC 5.2DORMDorman Products, Inc.QOC 8.6PHINPHINIA Inc.QOC 8.0MNROMonro, Inc.QOC 6.9ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.1ALVAutoliv, Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: ECX · AUR · GT · VGNT · PRTS · INVZ · DORM · PHIN · MNRO · ALSN · ALV

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SES?

7 companies across all industries closest to SES’s Quality of Company score of 5.5/10.

RUBIRubico Inc.QOC 5.5DBHLDeep Isolation Nuclear, Inc.QOC 5.5DCDakota Gold Corp.QOC 5.5LVOLiveOne, Inc.QOC 5.5CNCKCoincheck Group N.V.QOC 5.5EAFGrafTech International Ltd.QOC 5.5NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: RUBI · DBHL · DC · LVO · CNCK · EAF · NVDA

Where Does SES Sit in CirclFi's Auto Parts Rankings?

SES is ranked against every other Auto Parts stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Auto Parts stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About SES AI Corporation’s Valuation?

What is SES AI Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for SES AI Corporation (SES). The Quality of Company score is 5.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SES overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.52, 0 of 1 active models suggest SES may be undervalued, while 1 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SES AI Corporation's business model in Auto Parts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.5 mean for SES?

SES AI Corporation's QOC of 5.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SES?

CirclFi analyzes SES with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SES a value trap in 2026?

SES AI Corporation's Value Trap score is 35/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns SES AI Corporation (SES) a Quality of Company score of 5.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SES/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SES valuation
  • Financial statements: SES AI Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001819142) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SES as of ; valuations recomputed .