What Is Allison Transmission Holdings, (ALSN) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Allison Transmission Holdings, 's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $107.22. Trading at $115.98, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -7.5%), as 7 of 12 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Markov DDM targets $228.06 (+96.6%), versus EROIC at $29.37 (-74.7%). This +171.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About ALSN?
12 of 13 models are currently active for ALSN. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ALSN's intrinsic value at $54.38, implying -53.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ALSN Rank in Auto Parts?
Among 5 Auto Parts stocks, ALSN ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.3 places ALSN in the top tier.
The Auto Parts sector introduces analytical considerations specific to transportation company businesses. For Allison Transmission Holdings, , metrics like EBIT per unit provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.
Is ALSN a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for ALSN. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Allison Transmission Holdings, . Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Allison Transmission Holdings, scores 9.3 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +171.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ALSN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ALSN's 12 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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