Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT) Fair Value 2026

AIT · Industrial Distribution ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (0/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT) trades at $338.39, versus a $211.73 median fair value across its 10 active models — 37.4% below the current price. QOC: 9.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 0/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $276.85.

Key Facts

Ticker
AIT
Price
$338.39
Quality Score
9.1/10
Value Trap Risk
0/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 9.1/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $211.73, 37.4% below the current price of $338.39. Estimates range from $84.94 to $411.60. AIT scores 9.1/10 on fundamental quality and 0/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. AIT’s -37.4% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Industrial Distribution sector median is -33.0%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AIT?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($338.39)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $276.85 -18.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $100.38 -70.3%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $209.01 -38.2%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $84.94 -74.9%
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What Is AIT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $84.94 to $411.60

CirclFi's 10 active models place Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT) between $84.94 and $411.60 per share, a spread of 154% of the median. The median of that range — $211.73 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AIT, against a current price of $338.39.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$84.94median $211.73$411.60
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$84.94
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$411.60
Model agreement1 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AIT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AIT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $211.73. Trading at its current price of $338.39, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 8 of 10 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -37.4%. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $411.60 (+21.6%), while EROIC — the most conservative — estimates $84.94 (-74.9%). This +96.5% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV, EROIC lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About AIT?

10 of 13 models are currently active for AIT. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AIT is $211.73 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $276.85 on its own, implying -18.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AIT Rank in Industrial Distribution?

Among 23 Industrial Distribution stocks, AIT ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.1 places AIT in the top tier.

The Industrial Distribution sector introduces analytical considerations specific to industrial businesses. For Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc., metrics like aftermarket revenue mix provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is AIT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AIT a score of 0/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. earns a quality score of 9.1/10. This exceptional rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +96.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AIT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AIT's 10 active models, average confidence is 57%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Industrial Distribution Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Industrial Distribution stocks with 13-model coverage

GWWW.W. Grainger, Inc.QOC 9.3CNMCore & Main, Inc.QOC 8.9TXRPTX Rail Products, IncQOC 3.5FASTFastenal CompanyQOC 8.9QXOQXO, Inc.QOC 5.9WSOWatsco, Inc.QOC 8.7WCCWESCO International, Inc.QOC 8.3REZIResideo Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.7DSGRDistribution Solutions Group, Inc.QOC 6.7

Read investment analysis: GWW · CNM · TXRP · FAST · QXO · WSO · WCC · REZI · DSGR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AIT?

7 companies across all industries closest to AIT’s Quality of Company score of 9.1/10.

MSIMotorola Solutions, Inc.QOC 9.1GLWCorning IncorporatedQOC 9.1CCEPCoca-Cola Europacific Partners PLCQOC 9.1ALSNAllison Transmission Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.1AAgilent Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.1ACIWACI Worldwide, Inc.QOC 9.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MSI · GLW · CCEP · ALSN · A · ACIW · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT)'s intrinsic value at $211.73 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $84.94 to $411.60. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $276.85 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AIT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $338.39, 1 of 10 active models suggest AIT may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $211.73, 37.4% below the current price of $338.39 — a consensus view that AIT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.'s business model in Industrial Distribution.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.1 mean for AIT?

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.'s QOC of 9.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AIT?

CirclFi analyzes AIT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AIT?

Of the 10 models currently active on AIT, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $411.60 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $84.94. CirclFi's published fair value for AIT is the median of that range, $211.73, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 154% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AIT a value trap in 2026?

Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 0/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Applied Industrial Technologies, Inc. (AIT) has a median fair value of $211.73 — 37.4% below the current price of $338.39 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AIT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AIT valuation

Market data for AIT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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