What Is Allstate Corporation (The) (ALL) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Allstate Corporation (The)'s intrinsic value is estimated at $449.84, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $256.41. With an average implied return of +75.4% across a split 6–4 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +499.0% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, ML-RIV sees the most upside at +423.7% (fair value: $1,342.79), while Sentiment SOTP is the most conservative at -75.3% ($63.38). The spread between these extremes — +499.0% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About ALL?
12 of 13 models are currently active for ALL. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ALL's intrinsic value at $461.32, implying +79.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ALL Rank in Insurance - Property & Casualty?
Among 5 Insurance - Property & Casualty stocks, ALL ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.5 places ALL in the top tier.
As a underwriting business, Allstate Corporation (The) operates in a sector where reserve adequacy is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ALL should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is ALL a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ALL a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Allstate Corporation (The). Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Allstate Corporation (The) is rated at 8.5/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +499.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ALL valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ALL's 12 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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