Hubbell Incorporated (HUBB) Fair Value 2026

HUBB · Electrical Equipment & Parts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (12/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Hubbell Incorporated (HUBB) trades at $470.28, versus a $299.78 median fair value across its 11 active models — 36.3% below the current price. QOC: 9.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 12/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $313.13.

Key Facts

Ticker
HUBB
Price
$470.28
Quality Score
9.1/10
Value Trap Risk
12/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +10.0% upside with 63% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Hubbell Incorporated (HUBB) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Hubbell Incorporated (HUBB) appears overvalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $299.78, 36.3% below the current price of $470.28. Estimates range from $116.00 to $646.55. HUBB scores 9.1/10 on fundamental quality and 12/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. HUBB’s -36.3% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Electrical Equipment & Parts sector median is -34.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Hubbell Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give HUBB?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($470.28)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $313.13 -33.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $138.25 -70.6%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $268.33 -42.9%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $517.44 +10.0%
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What Is HUBB's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $116.00 to $646.55

CirclFi's 11 active models place Hubbell Incorporated (HUBB) between $116.00 and $646.55 per share, a spread of 177% of the median. The median of that range — $299.78 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for HUBB, against a current price of $470.28.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$116.00median $299.78$646.55
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$116.00
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$646.55
Model agreement2 bullish · 9 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for HUBB. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on HUBB, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Hubbell Incorporated (HUBB) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Hubbell Incorporated's intrinsic value is estimated at $299.78, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $470.28. With 9 out of 11 models flagging downside (-36.3% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +37.5% (fair value: $646.55), while EROIC is the most conservative at -75.3% ($116.00). The spread between these extremes — +112.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About HUBB?

11 of 13 models are currently active for HUBB. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for HUBB is $299.78 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $313.13 on its own, implying -33.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HUBB Rank in Electrical Equipment & Parts?

Among 57 Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, HUBB ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.1 places HUBB in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks →

Within the Electrical Equipment & Parts space, Hubbell Incorporated competes in an environment where renewable generation mix often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is HUBB a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HUBB a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Hubbell Incorporated. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Hubbell Incorporated is rated at 9.1/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +112.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HUBB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HUBB's 11 active models, average confidence is 56%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Hubbell Incorporated Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks with 13-model coverage

ESPEspey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.QOC 9.2HAYWHayward Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.0VRTVertiv Holdings CoQOC 9.2AYIAcuity Inc.QOC 8.8POWLPowell Industries, Inc.QOC 9.6ENSEnerSysQOC 8.8EOSEEos Energy Enterprises, Inc.QOC 6.6ADNHAdvent Technologies Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.4FPSForgent Power Solutions, Inc.QOC 4.5

Read investment analysis: ESP · HAYW · VRT · AYI · POWL · ENS · EOSE · ADNH · FPS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to HUBB?

7 companies across all industries closest to HUBB’s Quality of Company score of 9.1/10.

ESTCElastic N.V.QOC 9.1PIPRPiper Sandler CompaniesQOC 9.1EXTRExtreme Networks, Inc.QOC 9.1OPXSOptex Systems Holdings, IncQOC 9.1MAMastercard IncorporatedQOC 9.1NDSNNordson CorporationQOC 9.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: ESTC · PIPR · EXTR · OPXS · MA · NDSN · NVDA

Where Does HUBB Sit in CirclFi's Electrical Equipment & Parts Rankings?

HUBB is ranked against every other Electrical Equipment & Parts stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Hubbell Incorporated’s Valuation?

What is Hubbell Incorporated's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Hubbell Incorporated (HUBB)'s intrinsic value at $299.78 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $116.00 to $646.55. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $313.13 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HUBB overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $470.28, 2 of 11 active models suggest HUBB may be undervalued, while 9 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $299.78, 36.3% below the current price of $470.28 — a consensus view that HUBB is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Hubbell Incorporated's business model in Electrical Equipment & Parts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.1 mean for HUBB?

Hubbell Incorporated's QOC of 9.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HUBB?

CirclFi analyzes HUBB with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on HUBB?

Of the 11 models currently active on HUBB, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $646.55 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $116.00. CirclFi's published fair value for HUBB is the median of that range, $299.78, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 177% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is HUBB a value trap in 2026?

Hubbell Incorporated's Value Trap score is 12/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Hubbell Incorporated (HUBB) has a median fair value of $299.78 — 36.3% below the current price of $470.28 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HUBB/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this HUBB valuation
  • Financial statements: Hubbell Incorporated 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000048898) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for HUBB as of ; valuations recomputed .

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