Intuit Inc. (INTU) Fair Value 2026

INTU · Software - Application ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

9.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (31/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Intuit Inc. (INTU) trades at $289.81, versus a $392.60 median fair value across its 11 active models — 35.5% above the current price. QOC: 9.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 31/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $624.45.

Key Facts

Ticker
INTU
Price
$289.81
Quality Score
9.1/10
Value Trap Risk
31/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +115.5% upside with 73% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Intuit Inc. (INTU) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Intuit Inc. (INTU) appears undervalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $392.60, 35.5% above the current price of $289.81. Estimates range from $159.80 to $963.87. INTU scores 9.1/10 on fundamental quality and 31/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. INTU’s +35.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Software - Application sector median is -20.8%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Intuit Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give INTU?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($289.81)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $624.45 +115.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $160.20 -44.7%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $430.57 +48.6%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $454.93 +57.0%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 7 additional models including EROIC Spread, Markov DDM, and more.

$2 / day

Billed monthly ($60/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 11 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is INTU's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $159.80 to $963.87

CirclFi's 11 active models place Intuit Inc. (INTU) between $159.80 and $963.87 per share, a spread of 205% of the median. The median of that range — $392.60 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for INTU, against a current price of $289.81.

Low · EROICHigh · Regime Cross
$159.80median $392.60$963.87
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$159.80
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$963.87
Model agreement8 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for INTU. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on INTU, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Intuit Inc. (INTU) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Intuit Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $392.60, suggesting a +35.5% median upside from the current price of $289.81. While 8 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 3 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $963.87 (+232.6%), versus EROIC at $159.80 (-44.9%). This +277.4% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About INTU?

11 of 13 models are currently active for INTU. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for INTU is $392.60 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $624.45 on its own, implying +115.5% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does INTU Rank in Software - Application?

Among 261 Software - Application stocks, INTU ranks #21 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.1 places INTU in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Software - Application Stocks →

The Software - Application sector introduces analytical considerations specific to digital enterprise businesses. For Intuit Inc., metrics like customer acquisition cost (CAC) provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is INTU a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns INTU a score of 31/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Intuit Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Intuit Inc. scores 9.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +277.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every INTU valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across INTU's 11 active models, average confidence is 56%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Intuit Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Software - Application Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Software - Application stocks with 13-model coverage

ESTCElastic N.V.QOC 9.1OTEXOpen Text CorporationQOC 9.1UBERUber Technologies, Inc.QOC 9.1BSYBentley Systems, IncorporatedQOC 9.1YMMFull Truck Alliance Co. Ltd.QOC 9.2KAROKarooooo Ltd.QOC 9.0VTSIVirTra, Inc.QOC 7.6TTANServiceTitan, Inc.QOC 6.3WEWAWewards, Inc.QOC 4.4ADSKAutodesk, Inc.QOC 9.9PTCPTC Inc.QOC 9.8

Read investment analysis: ESTC · OTEX · UBER · BSY · YMM · KARO · VTSI · TTAN · WEWA · ADSK · PTC

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to INTU?

7 companies across all industries closest to INTU’s Quality of Company score of 9.1/10.

OPXSOptex Systems Holdings, IncQOC 9.1NDSNNordson CorporationQOC 9.1PIPRPiper Sandler CompaniesQOC 9.1CRSCarpenter Technology CorporationQOC 9.1HUBBHubbell IncorporatedQOC 9.1TRVThe Travelers Companies, Inc.QOC 9.1NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: OPXS · NDSN · PIPR · CRS · HUBB · TRV · NVDA

Where Does INTU Sit in CirclFi's Software - Application Rankings?

INTU is ranked against every other Software - Application stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Software - Application stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Intuit Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Intuit Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Intuit Inc. (INTU)'s intrinsic value at $392.60 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $159.80 to $963.87. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $624.45 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 9.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is INTU overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $289.81, 8 of 11 active models suggest INTU may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $392.60, 35.5% above the current price of $289.81 — a consensus view that INTU is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Intuit Inc.'s business model in Software - Application.

What does a Quality of Company score of 9.1 mean for INTU?

Intuit Inc.'s QOC of 9.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on INTU?

CirclFi analyzes INTU with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on INTU?

Of the 11 models currently active on INTU, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $963.87 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $159.80. CirclFi's published fair value for INTU is the median of that range, $392.60, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 205% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is INTU a value trap in 2026?

Intuit Inc.'s Value Trap score is 31/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Intuit Inc. (INTU) has a median fair value of $392.60 — 35.5% above the current price of $289.81 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/INTU/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this INTU valuation
  • Financial statements: Intuit Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000896878) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for INTU as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 11 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on INTU.

Unlock All 11 Fair Values — $60/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

7 models hidden for INTU Unlock All 11 — $60/mo