What Is Commvault Systems, Inc. (CVLT) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Commvault Systems, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $63.73, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $148.65. With 11 out of 12 models flagging downside (-57.1% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Notably, PWERM sees the most upside at +1.6% (fair value: $151.07), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -90.8% ($13.75). The spread between these extremes — +92.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About CVLT?
12 of 13 models are currently active for CVLT. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CVLT's intrinsic value at $113.41, implying -23.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CVLT Rank in Services-Prepackaged Software?
Among 208 Services-Prepackaged Software stocks, CVLT ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places CVLT in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Services-Prepackaged Software Stocks →
As a software business, Commvault Systems, Inc. operates in a sector where net revenue retention (NRR) is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CVLT should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is CVLT a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CVLT a score of 31/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Commvault Systems, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Commvault Systems, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 10.0/10. This exceptional score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +92.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CVLT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CVLT's 12 active models, average confidence is 46%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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