Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) Fair Value 2026

CRM · Services-Prepackaged Software ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

10.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (5/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) trades at $171.17, approximately 26% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $232.66. QOC: 10.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 5/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
CRM
Price
$171.17
Quality Score
10.0/10
Value Trap Risk
5/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +80.8% upside with 59% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($171.17)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$232.66 +35.9%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$29.32 -82.9%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$169.27 -1.1%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$309.40 +80.8%

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What Is Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Salesforce, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $220.67, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $171.17. With an average implied return of +28.9% across a split 4–6 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +535.3% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +452.4% (fair value: $945.53), while EPV is the most conservative at -82.9% ($29.32). The spread between these extremes — +535.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About CRM?

12 of 13 models are currently active for CRM. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CRM's intrinsic value at $232.66, implying +35.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does CRM Rank in Services-Prepackaged Software?

Among 208 Services-Prepackaged Software stocks, CRM ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 10.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 10.0 places CRM in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Services-Prepackaged Software Stocks →

Salesforce, Inc.'s positioning within the Services-Prepackaged Software segment means that free cash flow margin plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including platform stickiness — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is CRM a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns CRM a score of 5/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Salesforce, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Salesforce, Inc. scores 10.0 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +535.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every CRM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across CRM's 12 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Salesforce, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Services-Prepackaged Software Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Services-Prepackaged Software stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CVLT · EGAN · MANH · MSFT · NTES

See all Services-Prepackaged Software stocks ranked →

Frequently Asked Questions About Salesforce, Inc.

What is Salesforce, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Salesforce, Inc. (CRM) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $232.66. The Quality of Company score is 10.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is CRM overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $171.17, 4 of 12 active models suggest CRM may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Salesforce, Inc.'s business model in Services-Prepackaged Software.

What does a Quality of Company score of 10.0 mean for CRM?

Salesforce, Inc.'s QOC of 10.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on CRM?

CirclFi analyzes CRM with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is CRM a value trap in 2026?

Salesforce, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 5/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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