Acuity Inc. (AYI) Fair Value 2026

AYI · Electrical Equipment & Parts ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (18/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Acuity Inc. (AYI) trades at $341.76, versus a $182.98 median fair value across its 10 active models — 46.5% below the current price. QOC: 8.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 18/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $179.05.

Key Facts

Ticker
AYI
Price
$341.76
Quality Score
8.8/10
Value Trap Risk
18/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Quality Score of 8.8/10 indicates strong fundamentals
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Acuity Inc. (AYI) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Acuity Inc. (AYI) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $182.98, 46.5% below the current price of $341.76. Estimates range from $56.08 to $571.41. AYI scores 8.8/10 on fundamental quality and 18/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. AYI’s -46.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Electrical Equipment & Parts sector median is -34.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Acuity Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give AYI?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($341.76)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $179.05 -47.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $128.56 -62.4%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $186.92 -45.3%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $134.54 -60.6%
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What Is AYI's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $56.08 to $571.41

CirclFi's 10 active models place Acuity Inc. (AYI) between $56.08 and $571.41 per share, a spread of 282% of the median. The median of that range — $182.98 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for AYI, against a current price of $341.76.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Regime Cross
$56.08median $182.98$571.41
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$56.08
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$571.41
Model agreement2 bullish · 8 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for AYI. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on AYI, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Acuity Inc. (AYI) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Acuity Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $182.98, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $341.76. With 8 out of 10 models flagging downside (-46.5% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $571.41 (+67.2%), versus Markov DDM at $56.08 (-83.6%). This +150.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About AYI?

10 of 13 models are currently active for AYI. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for AYI is $182.98 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $179.05 on its own, implying -47.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does AYI Rank in Electrical Equipment & Parts?

Among 57 Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks, AYI ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.8 places AYI in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks →

As a power and energy company, Acuity Inc. operates in a sector where customer growth rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating AYI should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is AYI a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns AYI a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Acuity Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Acuity Inc. is rated at 8.8/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +150.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every AYI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across AYI's 10 active models, average confidence is 56%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Acuity Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Electrical Equipment & Parts Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks with 13-model coverage

HAYWHayward Holdings, Inc.QOC 9.0ENSEnerSysQOC 8.8HUBBHubbell IncorporatedQOC 9.1NVTnVent Electric plcQOC 8.7ESPEspey Mfg. & Electronics Corp.QOC 9.2KEKimball Electronics, Inc.QOC 8.3FCELFuelCell Energy, Inc.QOC 6.4FACFactorial Energy Inc.QOC 5.3KRFGKing Resources, IncQOC 4.3POWLPowell Industries, Inc.QOC 9.6VRTVertiv Holdings CoQOC 9.2

Read investment analysis: HAYW · ENS · HUBB · NVT · ESP · KE · FCEL · FAC · KRFG · POWL · VRT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to AYI?

7 companies across all industries closest to AYI’s Quality of Company score of 8.8/10.

PDPagerDuty, Inc.QOC 8.8NWFLNorwood Financial Corp.QOC 8.8ORRFOrrstown Financial Services, Inc.QOC 8.8TCBITexas Capital Bancshares, Inc.QOC 8.8OSISOSI Systems, Inc.QOC 8.8CELHCelsius Holdings, Inc.QOC 8.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: PD · NWFL · ORRF · TCBI · OSIS · CELH · NVDA

Where Does AYI Sit in CirclFi's Electrical Equipment & Parts Rankings?

AYI is ranked against every other Electrical Equipment & Parts stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Electrical Equipment & Parts stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Acuity Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Acuity Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Acuity Inc. (AYI)'s intrinsic value at $182.98 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $56.08 to $571.41. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $179.05 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is AYI overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $341.76, 2 of 10 active models suggest AYI may be undervalued, while 8 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $182.98, 46.5% below the current price of $341.76 — a consensus view that AYI is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Acuity Inc.'s business model in Electrical Equipment & Parts.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.8 mean for AYI?

Acuity Inc.'s QOC of 8.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on AYI?

CirclFi analyzes AYI with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on AYI?

Of the 10 models currently active on AYI, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $571.41 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $56.08. CirclFi's published fair value for AYI is the median of that range, $182.98, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 282% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is AYI a value trap in 2026?

Acuity Inc.'s Value Trap score is 18/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Acuity Inc. (AYI) has a median fair value of $182.98 — 46.5% below the current price of $341.76 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/AYI/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this AYI valuation
  • Financial statements: Acuity Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001144215) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for AYI as of ; valuations recomputed .

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