The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp (GT) Fair Value 2026

GT · Tires & Inner Tubes ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (30/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp (GT) trades at $6.74, approximately 68% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $20.97. QOC: 5.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 30/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
GT
Price
$6.74
Quality Score
5.5/10
Value Trap Risk
30/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +211.1% upside with 52% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp (GT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp (GT) appears undervalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $10.58, 57.0% above the current price of $6.74. Estimates range from $1.23 to $22.96. GT scores 5.5/10 on fundamental quality and 30/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($6.74)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$20.97 +211.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$13.56 +101.3%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$10.58 +57.0%
Markov DDM
High Conviction
$1.23 -81.8%

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What Is The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp (GT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp presents a highly debated valuation profile at its current price of $6.74. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $10.70 (+58.8% average upside), masking a wide model spread between the 6 bullish models and 5 bearish models. Model dispersion is worth noting: EROIC targets $22.96 (+240.7%), versus Markov DDM at $1.23 (-81.8%). This +322.5% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About GT?

11 of 13 models are currently active for GT. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GT's intrinsic value at $20.97, implying +211.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does GT Rank in Tires & Inner Tubes?

Among 1 Tires & Inner Tubes stocks, GT ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.5 reflects mixed fundamentals.

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is GT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GT a score of 30/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp is rated at 5.5/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +322.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every GT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across GT's 11 active models, average confidence is 44%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Frequently Asked Questions About The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp

What is The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp (GT) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $20.97. The Quality of Company score is 5.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is GT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $6.74, 6 of 11 active models suggest GT may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $10.58, 57.0% above the current price of $6.74 — a consensus view that GT is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp's business model in Tires & Inner Tubes.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.5 mean for GT?

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp's QOC of 5.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on GT?

CirclFi analyzes GT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is GT a value trap in 2026?

The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp's Value Trap score is 30/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, The Goodyear Tire & Rubber Comp (GT) has a median fair value of $10.58 — 57.0% above the current price of $6.74 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/GT/ · Methodology

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