PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) Fair Value 2026

PHIN · Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.5 /10

32 fundamental signals · 13 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) trades at $77.26, approximately 5% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $81.59. QOC: 8.5/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 13/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PHIN
Price
$77.26
Quality Score
8.5/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
13/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +5.6% upside with 68% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Valuation Matrix

13 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($77.26)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$81.59 +5.6%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$37.46 -51.5%
CUCE Ensemble
Medium Conviction
$52.16 -32.5%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$55.61 -28.0%

Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 9 additional models including EROIC Spread, Markov DDM, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 13 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, PHINIA Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $51.56, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $77.26. With 10 out of 13 models flagging downside (-33.3% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $88.89 (+15.1%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $12.85 (-83.4%). This +98.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about PHINIA Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About PHIN?

13 of 13 models are currently active for PHIN. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates PHIN's intrinsic value at $81.59, implying +5.6% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PHIN Rank in Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories?

Among 31 Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories stocks, PHIN ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.5 places PHIN in the top tier.

Within the Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories space, PHINIA Inc. competes in an environment where EV mix percentage often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is PHIN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns PHIN a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

13 of 13 models are active for PHINIA Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, PHINIA Inc. is rated at 8.5/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +98.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PHIN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PHIN's 13 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy PHINIA Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: DORM · ATMU · GNTX · THRM · LCII

Frequently Asked Questions About PHINIA Inc.

What is PHINIA Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, PHINIA Inc. (PHIN) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $81.59. The Quality of Company score is 8.5/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PHIN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $77.26, 3 of 13 active models suggest PHIN may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits PHINIA Inc.'s business model in Motor Vehicle Parts & Accessories.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.5 mean for PHIN?

PHINIA Inc.'s QOC of 8.5/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PHIN?

CirclFi analyzes PHIN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 13 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PHIN a value trap in 2026?

PHINIA Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 13 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on PHIN.

Unlock All 13 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access