KBR, Inc. (KBR) Fair Value 2026

KBR · Engineering & Construction ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.0 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, KBR, Inc. (KBR) trades at $34.61, versus a $75.62 median fair value across its 11 active models — 118.5% above the current price. QOC: 8.0/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $126.27.

Key Facts

Ticker
KBR
Price
$34.61
Quality Score
8.0/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Bayesian DCF suggests +264.8% upside with 71% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is KBR, Inc. (KBR) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, KBR, Inc. (KBR) appears undervalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $75.62, 118.5% above the current price of $34.61. Estimates range from $20.09 to $126.27. KBR scores 8.0/10 on fundamental quality and 17/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. KBR’s +118.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Engineering & Construction sector median is -28.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy KBR, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give KBR?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($34.61)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $126.27 +264.8%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $20.09 -42.0%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $75.62 +118.5%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $25.61 -26.0%
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What Is KBR's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $20.09 to $126.27

CirclFi's 11 active models place KBR, Inc. (KBR) between $20.09 and $126.27 per share, a spread of 140% of the median. The median of that range — $75.62 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for KBR, against a current price of $34.61.

Low · EPVHigh · Bayesian DCF
$20.09median $75.62$126.27
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEarnings Power Value (EPV)$20.09
Most bullish modelBayesian DCF$126.27
Model agreement9 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for KBR. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on KBR, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is KBR, Inc. (KBR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, KBR, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $75.62. At a current market price of $34.61, 9 of 11 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +118.5%. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +264.8% (fair value: $126.27), while EPV is the most conservative at -42.0% ($20.09). The spread between these extremes — +306.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About KBR?

11 of 13 models are currently active for KBR. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for KBR is $75.62 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $126.27 on its own, implying +264.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KBR Rank in Engineering & Construction?

Among 53 Engineering & Construction stocks, KBR ranks #19 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.0 places KBR in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Engineering & Construction Stocks →

Within the Engineering & Construction space, KBR, Inc. competes in an environment where book-to-bill ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is KBR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KBR a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for KBR, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, KBR, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.0/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +306.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KBR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KBR's 11 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy KBR, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Engineering & Construction Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Engineering & Construction stocks with 13-model coverage

ROADConstruction Partners, Inc.QOC 8.2MTZMasTec, Inc.QOC 8.0BWMNBowman Consulting Group Ltd.QOC 8.3ACMAECOMQOC 7.9ACAArcosa, Inc.QOC 8.4TPCTutor Perini CorporationQOC 7.9MTRXMatrix Service CompanyQOC 6.8OFALOFA GroupQOC 5.0AGXArgan, Inc.QOC 9.0FIXComfort Systems USA, Inc.QOC 9.6STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc.QOC 9.5

Read investment analysis: ROAD · MTZ · BWMN · ACM · ACA · TPC · MTRX · OFAL · AGX · FIX · STRL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to KBR?

7 companies across all industries closest to KBR’s Quality of Company score of 8.0/10.

MPLXMPLX LPQOC 8.0BWBBridgewater Bancshares, Inc.QOC 8.0WFCFWhere Food Comes From, Inc.QOC 8.0NOAHNoah Holdings LimitedQOC 8.0THRMGentherm IncorporatedQOC 8.0PHINPHINIA Inc.QOC 8.0NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MPLX · BWB · WFCF · NOAH · THRM · PHIN · NVDA

Where Does KBR Sit in CirclFi's Engineering & Construction Rankings?

KBR is ranked against every other Engineering & Construction stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Engineering & Construction stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About KBR, Inc.’s Valuation?

What is KBR, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts KBR, Inc. (KBR)'s intrinsic value at $75.62 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $20.09 to $126.27. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $126.27 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.0/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KBR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $34.61, 9 of 11 active models suggest KBR may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $75.62, 118.5% above the current price of $34.61 — a consensus view that KBR is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits KBR, Inc.'s business model in Engineering & Construction.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.0 mean for KBR?

KBR, Inc.'s QOC of 8.0/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KBR?

CirclFi analyzes KBR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on KBR?

Of the 11 models currently active on KBR, Bayesian DCF is the most bullish at $126.27 per share, and Earnings Power Value (EPV) is the most bearish at $20.09. CirclFi's published fair value for KBR is the median of that range, $75.62, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 140% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is KBR a value trap in 2026?

KBR, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, KBR, Inc. (KBR) has a median fair value of $75.62 — 118.5% above the current price of $34.61 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/KBR/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this KBR valuation
  • Financial statements: KBR, Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001357615) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for KBR as of ; valuations recomputed .

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