KBR, Inc. (KBR) Fair Value 2026

KBR · Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, KBR, Inc. (KBR) trades at $35.74, approximately 4% below CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $37.15. QOC: 8.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
KBR
Price
$35.74
Quality Score
8.8/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +106.8% upside with 56% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($35.74)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$37.15 +3.9%
Earnings Power Value
High Conviction
$17.99 -49.7%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$42.89 +20.0%
First Chicago
High Conviction
$73.91 +106.8%

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What Is KBR, Inc. (KBR) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, KBR, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $49.63. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $35.75 (implied upside of +38.8%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 7 of 12 bullish models. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +263.4% (fair value: $129.89), while EROIC is the most conservative at -55.0% ($16.09). The spread between these extremes — +318.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About KBR?

12 of 13 models are currently active for KBR. Of these, 10 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates KBR's intrinsic value at $37.15, implying +3.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does KBR Rank in Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors?

Among 12 Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors stocks, KBR ranks #5 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.8 places KBR in the top tier.

Within the Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors space, KBR, Inc. competes in an environment where book-to-bill ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is KBR a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns KBR a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for KBR, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, KBR, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 8.8/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +318.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every KBR valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across KBR's 12 active models, average confidence is 48%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy KBR, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About KBR, Inc.

What is KBR, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, KBR, Inc. (KBR) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $37.15. The Quality of Company score is 8.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is KBR overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $35.74, 10 of 12 active models suggest KBR may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits KBR, Inc.'s business model in Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.8 mean for KBR?

KBR, Inc.'s QOC of 8.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on KBR?

CirclFi analyzes KBR with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is KBR a value trap in 2026?

KBR, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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