What Is Granite Construction Incorporat (GVA) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Granite Construction Incorporat's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $81.62. Trading at $118.77, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -31.3%), as 9 of 13 models suggest limited further upside. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $157.52 (+32.6%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $14.24 (-88.0%). This +120.6% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Granite Construction Incorporat's intrinsic worth.
What Do the Models Say About GVA?
13 of 13 models are currently active for GVA. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GVA's intrinsic value at $59.23, implying -50.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does GVA Rank in Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors?
Among 12 Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors stocks, GVA ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.9 places GVA in the top tier.
Granite Construction Incorporat's positioning within the Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors segment means that book-to-bill ratio plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including electrification tailwinds — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is GVA a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GVA a score of 10/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Granite Construction Incorporat. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Granite Construction Incorporat scores 8.9 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +120.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every GVA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across GVA's 13 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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