What Is Orion Group Holdings, Inc. (ORN) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Orion Group Holdings, Inc. at its current price of $13.37. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $8.61 (-35.6% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $16.63 (+24.4%), versus EPV at $0.77 (-94.2%). This +118.6% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About ORN?
10 of 13 models are currently active for ORN. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates ORN's intrinsic value at $1.62, implying -87.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does ORN Rank in Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors?
Among 12 Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors stocks, ORN ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.0/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.0 indicates above-average quality.
Within the Heavy Construction Other Than Bldg Const - Contractors space, Orion Group Holdings, Inc. competes in an environment where aftermarket revenue mix often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.
Is ORN a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ORN a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
10 of 13 models are active for Orion Group Holdings, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Orion Group Holdings, Inc.'s fundamental quality profile registers 7.0/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +118.6% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every ORN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across ORN's 10 active models, average confidence is 42%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad