Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) Fair Value 2026

ESOA · Engineering & Construction ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) trades at $11.68, versus a $5.77 median fair value across its 10 active models — 50.6% below the current price. QOC: 6.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 10/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $0.33.

Key Facts

Ticker
ESOA
Price
$11.68
Quality Score
6.8/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +92.0% upside with 57% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) appears overvalued as of : the median of 10 independent fair value estimates is $5.77, 50.6% below the current price of $11.68. Estimates range from $0.33 to $33.01. ESOA scores 6.8/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. ESOA’s -50.6% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Engineering & Construction sector median is -33.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Energy Services of America Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ESOA?

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($11.68)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.33 -97.2%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $6.70 -42.6%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $22.43 +92.0%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $1.73 -85.2%
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What Is ESOA's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 10 independent models · $0.33 to $33.01

CirclFi's 10 active models place Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) between $0.33 and $33.01 per share, a spread of 567% of the median. The median of that range — $5.77 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for ESOA, against a current price of $11.68.

Low · Bayesian DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$0.33median $5.77$33.01
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelBayesian DCF$0.33
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$33.01
Model agreement4 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for ESOA. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on ESOA, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Energy Services of America Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $5.77. Trading at $11.68, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of -50.6%), as 6 of 10 models suggest limited further upside. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $33.01 (+182.6%), versus Bayesian DCF at $0.33 (-97.2%). This +279.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About ESOA?

10 of 13 models are currently active for ESOA. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for ESOA is $5.77 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $0.33 on its own, implying -97.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ESOA Rank in Engineering & Construction?

Among 53 Engineering & Construction stocks, ESOA ranks #31 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Engineering & Construction Stocks →

Energy Services of America Corporation's positioning within the Engineering & Construction segment means that working capital efficiency plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including aftermarket and services growth — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is ESOA a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ESOA a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for Energy Services of America Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Energy Services of America Corporation earns a quality score of 6.8/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +279.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ESOA valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ESOA's 10 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Energy Services of America Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Engineering & Construction Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Engineering & Construction stocks with 13-model coverage

ORNOrion Group Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.9MTRXMatrix Service CompanyQOC 6.6CDLRCadeler A/SQOC 7.0FLRFluor CorporationQOC 6.5BBCPConcrete Pumping Holdings, Inc.QOC 7.4MGNMegan Holdings LimitedQOC 6.4SLNDSouthland Holdings, Inc.QOC 5.1EMEEMCOR Group, Inc.QOC 9.4BWMNBowman Consulting Group Ltd.QOC 8.2FIXComfort Systems USA, Inc.QOC 9.6STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc.QOC 9.5

Read investment analysis: ORN · MTRX · CDLR · FLR · BBCP · MGN · SLND · EME · BWMN · FIX · STRL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ESOA?

7 companies across all industries closest to ESOA’s Quality of Company score of 6.8/10.

AOSLAlpha and Omega Semiconductor LimitedQOC 6.9GLGIGreystone Logistics, Inc.QOC 6.8CCICrown Castle Inc.QOC 6.9BVBrightView Holdings, Inc.QOC 6.8PLXProtalix BioTherapeutics, Inc.QOC 6.9COHUCohu, Inc.QOC 6.8NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: AOSL · GLGI · CCI · BV · PLX · COHU · NVDA

Where Does ESOA Sit in CirclFi's Engineering & Construction Rankings?

ESOA is ranked against every other Engineering & Construction stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Engineering & Construction stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Energy Services of America Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Energy Services of America Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA)'s intrinsic value at $5.77 — the median of 10 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.33 to $33.01. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $0.33 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ESOA overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $11.68, 4 of 10 active models suggest ESOA may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 10 fair value estimates is $5.77, 50.6% below the current price of $11.68 — a consensus view that ESOA is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Energy Services of America Corporation's business model in Engineering & Construction.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.8 mean for ESOA?

Energy Services of America Corporation's QOC of 6.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ESOA?

CirclFi analyzes ESOA with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on ESOA?

Of the 10 models currently active on ESOA, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $33.01 per share, and Bayesian DCF is the most bearish at $0.33. CirclFi's published fair value for ESOA is the median of that range, $5.77, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 567% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is ESOA a value trap in 2026?

Energy Services of America Corporation's Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 10-model valuation engine, Energy Services of America Corporation (ESOA) has a median fair value of $5.77 — 50.6% below the current price of $11.68 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ESOA/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ESOA valuation

Market data for ESOA as of ; valuations recomputed .

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