Megan Holdings Limited (MGN) Fair Value 2026

MGN · Engineering & Construction ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (31/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-10-07, Megan Holdings Limited (MGN) trades at $3.60, versus a $3.62 median fair value across its 11 active models — 0.6% above the current price. QOC: 6.4/10. Value Trap Risk: 31/100 (LOW). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $0.30.

Key Facts

Ticker
MGN
Price
$3.60
Quality Score
6.4/10
Value Trap Risk
31/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +106.9% upside with 40% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is Megan Holdings Limited (MGN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Megan Holdings Limited (MGN) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $3.62, essentially in line with the current price of $3.60. Estimates range from $0.26 to $16.30. MGN scores 6.4/10 on fundamental quality and 31/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -20.1% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,777 rated companies as of 2026-10-07. MGN’s +0.6% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Engineering & Construction sector median is -28.4%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Megan Holdings Limited Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give MGN?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.60)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $0.30 -91.6%
Intrinsic · Medium Conviction
 $7.45 +106.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $3.62 +0.6%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $4.90 +36.2%
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What Is MGN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $0.26 to $16.30

CirclFi's 11 active models place Megan Holdings Limited (MGN) between $0.26 and $16.30 per share, a spread of 443% of the median. The median of that range — $3.62 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for MGN, against a current price of $3.60.

Low · ML-RIVHigh · FTNN
$0.26median $3.62$16.30
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelML Residual Income$0.26
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$16.30
Model agreement5 bullish · 4 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for MGN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on MGN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Megan Holdings Limited (MGN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Megan Holdings Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at $3.62, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $3.60. With a median implied return of +0.6% across a split 5–4 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +445.4% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +352.7% (fair value: $16.30), while ML-RIV is the most conservative at -92.7% ($0.26). The spread between these extremes — +445.4% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About MGN?

11 of 13 models are currently active for MGN. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 5 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for MGN is $3.62 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $0.30 on its own, implying -91.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does MGN Rank in Engineering & Construction?

Among 53 Engineering & Construction stocks, MGN ranks #34 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.4 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Engineering & Construction Stocks →

The Engineering & Construction sector introduces analytical considerations specific to manufacturing company businesses. For Megan Holdings Limited, metrics like order backlog depth provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is MGN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MGN a score of 31/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for Megan Holdings Limited. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Megan Holdings Limited earns a quality score of 6.4/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +445.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every MGN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across MGN's 11 active models, average confidence is 29%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Megan Holdings Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Engineering & Construction Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Engineering & Construction stocks with 13-model coverage

FLRFluor CorporationQOC 6.5LGNLegence Corp.QOC 6.3MTRXMatrix Service CompanyQOC 6.8MDLKModuLink Inc.QOC 6.1ESOAEnergy Services of America CorporationQOC 6.8MAGHMagnitude International LtdQOC 6.1ITGITG, Inc.QOC 3.3DYDycom Industries, Inc.QOC 8.7MTZMasTec, Inc.QOC 8.0FIXComfort Systems USA, Inc.QOC 9.6STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc.QOC 9.5

Read investment analysis: FLR · LGN · MTRX · MDLK · ESOA · MAGH · ITG · DY · MTZ · FIX · STRL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to MGN?

7 companies across all industries closest to MGN’s Quality of Company score of 6.4/10.

WGSGeneDx Holdings Corp.QOC 6.4BBIOBridgeBio Pharma, Inc.QOC 6.4CVVCVD Equipment CorporationQOC 6.4TRAWTraws Pharma, Inc.QOC 6.4AREAlexandria Real Estate Equities, Inc.QOC 6.4ASPNAspen Aerogels, Inc.QOC 6.4NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: WGS · BBIO · CVV · TRAW · ARE · ASPN · NVDA

Where Does MGN Sit in CirclFi's Engineering & Construction Rankings?

MGN is ranked against every other Engineering & Construction stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Engineering & Construction stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Megan Holdings Limited’s Valuation?

What is Megan Holdings Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Megan Holdings Limited (MGN)'s intrinsic value at $3.62 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-10-07, ranging from $0.26 to $16.30. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $0.30 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is MGN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.60, 6 of 11 active models suggest MGN may be undervalued, while 5 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $3.62, essentially in line with the current price of $3.60 — a consensus view that MGN is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Megan Holdings Limited's business model in Engineering & Construction.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.4 mean for MGN?

Megan Holdings Limited's QOC of 6.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on MGN?

CirclFi analyzes MGN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on MGN?

Of the 11 models currently active on MGN, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $16.30 per share, and ML Residual Income is the most bearish at $0.26. CirclFi's published fair value for MGN is the median of that range, $3.62, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 443% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is MGN a value trap in 2026?

Megan Holdings Limited's Value Trap score is 31/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, Megan Holdings Limited (MGN) has a median fair value of $3.62 — essentially in line with the current price of $3.60 — as of 2026-10-07.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/MGN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this MGN valuation
  • Financial statements: Megan Holdings Limited 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001995075) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for MGN as of ; valuations recomputed .

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