Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) Fair Value 2026

PHOE · Construction - Special Trade Contractors ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

2.4 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

(—/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-15, Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) trades at $24.60, approximately 465% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $4.36. QOC: 2.4/10. 12/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
PHOE
Price
$24.60
Quality Score
2.4/10
Value Trap Risk
—/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: 12 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 2.4/10 signals weak fundamentals

Is Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $2.53, 89.7% below the current price of $24.60. Estimates range from $0.17 to $19.54. PHOE scores 2.4/10 on fundamental quality and —/100 on value-trap risk.

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited Stock in 2026? →

Valuation Matrix

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($24.60)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$4.36 -82.3%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$0.67 -97.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$6.67 -72.9%
First Chicago
Low Conviction
$0.44 -98.2%

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What Is Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at $5.75. Trading at its current price of $24.60, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 12 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -76.6%. The most optimistic model, Sentiment SOTP, places fair value at $19.54 (-20.6%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $0.17 (-99.3%). This +78.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About PHOE?

12 of 13 models are currently active for PHOE. All 12 active models suggest the stock trades above fair value. The Bayesian DCF estimates PHOE's intrinsic value at $4.36, implying -82.3% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does PHOE Rank in Construction - Special Trade Contractors?

Among 14 Construction - Special Trade Contractors stocks, PHOE ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 2.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 2.4 signals below-average fundamentals.

The Construction - Special Trade Contractors sector introduces analytical considerations specific to industrial businesses. For Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited, metrics like margin expansion trajectory provide important context that general-purpose valuation models may underweight.

Is PHOE a Value Trap?

The Value Trap algorithm is not active for PHOE. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited scores 2.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a weak rating that exhibits fundamental weaknesses that warrant careful scrutiny. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +78.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every PHOE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across PHOE's 12 active models, average confidence is 14%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Construction - Special Trade Contractors Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

8 related Construction - Special Trade Contractors stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: WXM · LMB · BBCP · MTRX · LGN

Frequently Asked Questions About Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited

What is Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $4.36. The Quality of Company score is 2.4/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is PHOE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $24.60, 0 of 12 active models suggest PHOE may be undervalued, while 12 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $2.53, 89.7% below the current price of $24.60 — a consensus view that PHOE is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited's business model in Construction - Special Trade Contractors.

What does a Quality of Company score of 2.4 mean for PHOE?

Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited's QOC of 2.4/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on PHOE?

CirclFi analyzes PHOE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is PHOE a value trap in 2026?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm does not have sufficient data for PHOE at this time. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Phoenix Asia Holdings Limited (PHOE) has a median fair value of $2.53 — 89.7% below the current price of $24.60 — as of 2026-07-15.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/PHOE/ · Methodology

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