Legence Corp. (LGN) Fair Value 2026

LGN · Engineering & Construction ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

6.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 7 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (27/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Legence Corp. (LGN) trades at $57.58, versus a $15.61 median fair value across its 7 active models — 72.9% below the current price. QOC: 6.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 27/100 (LOW). 7/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $7.01.

Key Facts

Ticker
LGN
Price
$57.58
Quality Score
6.3/10
Value Trap Risk
27/100
Models Active
7/13
Last Updated
Strength: 7 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Legence Corp. (LGN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Legence Corp. (LGN) appears overvalued as of : the median of 7 independent fair value estimates is $15.61, 72.9% below the current price of $57.58. Estimates range from $6.47 to $98.63. LGN scores 6.3/10 on fundamental quality and 27/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. LGN’s -72.9% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Engineering & Construction sector median is -33.6%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Legence Corp. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give LGN?

7 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($57.58)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $7.01 -87.8%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $15.61 -72.9%
Scenario · Medium Conviction
 $27.05 -53.0%
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What Is LGN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 7 independent models · $6.47 to $98.63

CirclFi's 7 active models place Legence Corp. (LGN) between $6.47 and $98.63 per share, a spread of 590% of the median. The median of that range — $15.61 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for LGN, against a current price of $57.58.

Low · RCMH-DCFHigh · Regime Cross
$6.47median $15.61$98.63
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRCMH-DCF$6.47
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$98.63
Model agreement1 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for LGN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on LGN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Legence Corp. (LGN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Legence Corp.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $15.61, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $57.58. With 6 out of 7 models flagging downside (-72.9% vs price), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, Regime Cross, places fair value at $98.63 (+71.3%), while RCMH-DCF — the most conservative — estimates $6.47 (-88.8%). This +160.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Legence Corp.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About LGN?

7 of 13 models are currently active for LGN. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for LGN is $15.61 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $7.01 on its own, implying -87.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does LGN Rank in Engineering & Construction?

Among 53 Engineering & Construction stocks, LGN ranks #35 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.3 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Engineering & Construction Stocks →

Within the Engineering & Construction space, Legence Corp. competes in an environment where organic revenue growth often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is LGN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns LGN a score of 27/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

7 of 13 models are active for Legence Corp.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Legence Corp.'s fundamental quality profile registers 6.3/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +160.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every LGN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across LGN's 7 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Legence Corp. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Engineering & Construction Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Engineering & Construction stocks with 13-model coverage

MGNMegan Holdings LimitedQOC 6.4MDLKModuLink Inc.QOC 6.1FLRFluor CorporationQOC 6.5MAGHMagnitude International LtdQOC 6.1MTRXMatrix Service CompanyQOC 6.6BLNKBlink Charging Co.QOC 6.0PHOEPhoenix Asia Holdings LimitedQOC 2.9PRIMPrimoris Services CorporationQOC 8.7ACMAECOMQOC 7.9FIXComfort Systems USA, Inc.QOC 9.6STRLSterling Infrastructure, Inc.QOC 9.5

Read investment analysis: MGN · MDLK · FLR · MAGH · MTRX · BLNK · PHOE · PRIM · ACM · FIX · STRL

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to LGN?

7 companies across all industries closest to LGN’s Quality of Company score of 6.3/10.

HCATHealth Catalyst, Inc.QOC 6.3MGTEMarblegate Capital CorporationQOC 6.3BAXBaxter International Inc.QOC 6.3SEPNSepterna, Inc.QOC 6.3PODCPodcastOne, Inc.QOC 6.3RLYBRallybio CorporationQOC 6.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: HCAT · MGTE · BAX · SEPN · PODC · RLYB · NVDA

Where Does LGN Sit in CirclFi's Engineering & Construction Rankings?

LGN is ranked against every other Engineering & Construction stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Engineering & Construction stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Legence Corp.’s Valuation?

What is Legence Corp.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Legence Corp. (LGN)'s intrinsic value at $15.61 — the median of 7 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $6.47 to $98.63. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $7.01 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 6.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is LGN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $57.58, 1 of 7 active models suggest LGN may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 7 fair value estimates is $15.61, 72.9% below the current price of $57.58 — a consensus view that LGN is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Legence Corp.'s business model in Engineering & Construction.

What does a Quality of Company score of 6.3 mean for LGN?

Legence Corp.'s QOC of 6.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on LGN?

CirclFi analyzes LGN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 7 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on LGN?

Of the 7 models currently active on LGN, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $98.63 per share, and RCMH-DCF is the most bearish at $6.47. CirclFi's published fair value for LGN is the median of that range, $15.61, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 590% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is LGN a value trap in 2026?

Legence Corp.'s Value Trap score is 27/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 7-model valuation engine, Legence Corp. (LGN) has a median fair value of $15.61 — 72.9% below the current price of $57.58 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/LGN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this LGN valuation
  • Financial statements: Legence Corp. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0002052568) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for LGN as of ; valuations recomputed .

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