SUNation Energy Inc. (SUNE) Fair Value 2026

SUNE · Solar ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

5.6 /10

32 fundamental signals · 8 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (46/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, SUNation Energy Inc. (SUNE) trades at $2.20, versus a $2.73 median fair value across its 8 active models — 24.1% above the current price. QOC: 5.6/10. Value Trap Risk: 46/100 (WARN). 8/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $2.26.

Key Facts

Ticker
SUNE
Price
$2.20
Quality Score
5.6/10
Value Trap Risk
46/100
Models Active
8/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +131.9% upside with 57% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 46 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is SUNation Energy Inc. (SUNE) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, SUNation Energy Inc. (SUNE) appears undervalued as of : the median of 8 independent fair value estimates is $2.73, 24.1% above the current price of $2.20. Estimates range from $1.42 to $8.83. SUNE scores 5.6/10 on fundamental quality and 46/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. SUNE’s +24.1% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy SUNation Energy Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give SUNE?

8 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($2.20)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.26 +2.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $3.20 +45.3%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $5.10 +131.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $2.24 +1.7%
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What Is SUNE's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 8 independent models · $1.42 to $8.83

CirclFi's 8 active models place SUNation Energy Inc. (SUNE) between $1.42 and $8.83 per share, a spread of 271% of the median. The median of that range — $2.73 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for SUNE, against a current price of $2.20.

Low · Regime CrossHigh · PWERM
$1.42median $2.73$8.83
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$1.42
Most bullish modelPWERM$8.83
Model agreement4 bullish · 2 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for SUNE. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on SUNE, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is SUNation Energy Inc. (SUNE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, SUNation Energy Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $2.73, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $2.20. While the median implied return is +24.1%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +336.7% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $8.83 (+301.3%), while Regime Cross — the most conservative — estimates $1.42 (-35.4%). This +336.7% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about SUNation Energy Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About SUNE?

8 of 13 models are currently active for SUNE. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SUNE is $2.73 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $2.26 on its own, implying +2.9% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SUNE Rank in Solar?

Among 22 Solar stocks, SUNE ranks #12 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 5.6/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 5.6 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Within the Solar space, SUNation Energy Inc. competes in an environment where breakeven oil price often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is SUNE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SUNE a score of 46/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

8 of 13 models are active for SUNation Energy Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, SUNation Energy Inc. is rated at 5.6/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +336.7% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SUNE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SUNE's 8 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SUNation Energy Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Solar Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

10 related Solar stocks with 13-model coverage

ASTIAscent Solar Technologies, IncQOC 5.7BEEMBeam GlobalQOC 5.3TYGOTigo Energy, Inc.QOC 5.9TURBTurbo Energy, S.A.QOC 5.2ARRYArray Technologies, Inc.QOC 6.5FTCIFTC Solar, Inc.QOC 5.1ZEOZeo Energy Corp.QOC 5.0FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.QOC 9.3SPRUSpruce Power Holding CorporationQOC 6.8NXTNextpower Inc.QOC 8.7

Read investment analysis: ASTI · BEEM · TYGO · TURB · ARRY · FTCI · ZEO · FSLR · SPRU · NXT

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to SUNE?

7 companies across all industries closest to SUNE’s Quality of Company score of 5.6/10.

CLPRClipper Realty Inc.QOC 5.6VATEINNOVATE Corp.QOC 5.6MEGLMagic Empire Global LimitedQOC 5.6KTELKonaTel, Inc.QOC 5.6PENNPENN Entertainment, Inc.QOC 5.6LASELaser Photonics CorporationQOC 5.6NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CLPR · VATE · MEGL · KTEL · PENN · LASE · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About SUNation Energy Inc.’s Valuation?

What is SUNation Energy Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts SUNation Energy Inc. (SUNE)'s intrinsic value at $2.73 — the median of 8 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $1.42 to $8.83. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $2.26 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 5.6/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SUNE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $2.20, 6 of 8 active models suggest SUNE may be undervalued, while 2 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 8 fair value estimates is $2.73, 24.1% above the current price of $2.20 — a consensus view that SUNE is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SUNation Energy Inc.'s business model in Solar.

What does a Quality of Company score of 5.6 mean for SUNE?

SUNation Energy Inc.'s QOC of 5.6/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores between 5-7 reflect moderate fundamentals with areas for improvement.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SUNE?

CirclFi analyzes SUNE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 8 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on SUNE?

Of the 8 models currently active on SUNE, PWERM is the most bullish at $8.83 per share, and Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bearish at $1.42. CirclFi's published fair value for SUNE is the median of that range, $2.73, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 271% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is SUNE a value trap in 2026?

SUNation Energy Inc.'s Value Trap score is 46/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 8-model valuation engine, SUNation Energy Inc. (SUNE) has a median fair value of $2.73 — 24.1% above the current price of $2.20 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/SUNE/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this SUNE valuation
  • Financial statements: SUNation Energy Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000022701) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for SUNE as of ; valuations recomputed .

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