SUNation Energy, Inc. (SUNE) Fair Value 2026

SUNE · Construction - Special Trade Contractors ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.8 /10

32 fundamental signals · 10 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (46/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, SUNation Energy, Inc. (SUNE) trades at $3.40, approximately 162% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $1.30. QOC: 4.8/10. Value Trap Risk: 46/100 (WARN). 10/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
SUNE
Price
$3.40
Quality Score
4.8/10
Value Trap Risk
46/100
Models Active
10/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +204.3% upside with 19% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 46 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Valuation Matrix

10 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($3.40)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
High Conviction
$1.30 -61.8%
Earnings Power Value
Low Conviction
$10.35 +204.3%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$6.24 +83.4%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$1.48 -56.3%

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What Is SUNation Energy, Inc. (SUNE) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, our multi-model framework produces a cautiously optimistic read on SUNation Energy, Inc. at $3.40. With an estimated intrinsic value of $4.25 and 6 of 10 models pointing higher, the average implied return is +24.9%. The most optimistic model, EPV, places fair value at $10.35 (+204.3%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $0.46 (-86.6%). This +290.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about SUNation Energy, Inc.'s intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About SUNE?

10 of 13 models are currently active for SUNE. Of these, 7 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SUNE's intrinsic value at $1.30, implying -61.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does SUNE Rank in Construction - Special Trade Contractors?

Among 14 Construction - Special Trade Contractors stocks, SUNE ranks #8 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.8 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Within the Construction - Special Trade Contractors space, SUNation Energy, Inc. competes in an environment where aftermarket revenue mix often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is SUNE a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SUNE a score of 46/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

10 of 13 models are active for SUNation Energy, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, SUNation Energy, Inc. is rated at 4.8/10. This moderate-tier score shows mixed signals across our quality framework with notable weaknesses.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +290.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every SUNE valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across SUNE's 10 active models, average confidence is 31%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy SUNation Energy, Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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Frequently Asked Questions About SUNation Energy, Inc.

What is SUNation Energy, Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, SUNation Energy, Inc. (SUNE) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $1.30. The Quality of Company score is 4.8/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is SUNE overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $3.40, 7 of 10 active models suggest SUNE may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits SUNation Energy, Inc.'s business model in Construction - Special Trade Contractors.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.8 mean for SUNE?

SUNation Energy, Inc.'s QOC of 4.8/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on SUNE?

CirclFi analyzes SUNE with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 10 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is SUNE a value trap in 2026?

SUNation Energy, Inc.'s Value Trap score is 46/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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