Nextpower Inc. (NXT) Fair Value 2026

NXT · Solar ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.7 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

WARN (44/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Nextpower Inc. (NXT) trades at $89.58, versus a $51.91 median fair value across its 9 active models — 42.1% below the current price. QOC: 8.7/10. Value Trap Risk: 44/100 (WARN). 9/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $39.65.

Key Facts

Ticker
NXT
Price
$89.58
Quality Score
8.7/10
Value Trap Risk
44/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +29.7% upside with 65% confidence
Risk: Value Trap score of 44 suggests caution despite apparent undervaluation

Is Nextpower Inc. (NXT) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Nextpower Inc. (NXT) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $51.91, 42.1% below the current price of $89.58. Estimates range from $28.50 to $116.23. NXT scores 8.7/10 on fundamental quality and 44/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. NXT’s -42.1% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Nextpower Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NXT?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($89.58)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $39.65 -55.7%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $51.91 -42.1%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $116.23 +29.7%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $28.50 -68.2%
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What Is NXT's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $28.50 to $116.23

CirclFi's 9 active models place Nextpower Inc. (NXT) between $28.50 and $116.23 per share, a spread of 169% of the median. The median of that range — $51.91 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for NXT, against a current price of $89.58.

Low · EROICHigh · First Chicago
$28.50median $51.91$116.23
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelEROIC Spread$28.50
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$116.23
Model agreement1 bullish · 7 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for NXT. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on NXT, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Nextpower Inc. (NXT) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Nextpower Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $51.91. Trading at its current price of $89.58, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 7 of 9 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -42.1%. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +29.7% (fair value: $116.23), while EROIC is the most conservative at -68.2% ($28.50). The spread between these extremes — +97.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About NXT?

9 of 13 models are currently active for NXT. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for NXT is $51.91 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $39.65 on its own, implying -55.7% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NXT Rank in Solar?

Among 22 Solar stocks, NXT ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.7/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.7 places NXT in the top tier.

Nextpower Inc.'s positioning within the Solar segment means that reserve life index plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including basin-level economics — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is NXT a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NXT a score of 44/100 (WARN). This is a warning signal. Additional research into recent 10-Q filings is recommended. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Nextpower Inc.. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Nextpower Inc. scores 8.7 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +97.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NXT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NXT's 9 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Nextpower Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Solar Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Solar stocks with 13-model coverage

FSLRFirst Solar, Inc.QOC 9.3ENPHEnphase Energy, Inc.QOC 8.4CSIQCanadian Solar Inc.QOC 2.5SHLSShoals Technologies Group, Inc.QOC 7.4PNPN Smart Energy LimitedQOC 2.9SEDGSolarEdge Technologies, Inc.QOC 7.1RUNSunrun Inc.QOC 6.8BEEMBeam GlobalQOC 5.3HYSRSunHydrogen, Inc.QOC 4.6

Read investment analysis: FSLR · ENPH · CSIQ · SHLS · PN · SEDG · RUN · BEEM · HYSR

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NXT?

7 companies across all industries closest to NXT’s Quality of Company score of 8.7/10.

MGYRMagyar Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.7HLIHoulihan Lokey, Inc.QOC 8.7NVRNVR, Inc.QOC 8.7TYLTyler Technologies, Inc.QOC 8.7IGICInternational General Insurance Holdings Ltd.QOC 8.7ITWIllinois Tool Works Inc.QOC 8.7NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MGYR · HLI · NVR · TYL · IGIC · ITW · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Nextpower Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Nextpower Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Nextpower Inc. (NXT)'s intrinsic value at $51.91 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $28.50 to $116.23. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $39.65 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.7/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NXT overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $89.58, 2 of 9 active models suggest NXT may be undervalued, while 7 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $51.91, 42.1% below the current price of $89.58 — a consensus view that NXT is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Nextpower Inc.'s business model in Solar.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.7 mean for NXT?

Nextpower Inc.'s QOC of 8.7/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NXT?

CirclFi analyzes NXT with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on NXT?

Of the 9 models currently active on NXT, First Chicago is the most bullish at $116.23 per share, and EROIC Spread is the most bearish at $28.50. CirclFi's published fair value for NXT is the median of that range, $51.91, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 169% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is NXT a value trap in 2026?

Nextpower Inc.'s Value Trap score is 44/100 (WARN). This elevated score suggests the stock may look undervalued but faces deteriorating fundamentals — declining margins, rising debt, or shrinking revenue could make the apparent discount deceptive. Browse our ranked stock lists to compare value-trap scores across industries.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Nextpower Inc. (NXT) has a median fair value of $51.91 — 42.1% below the current price of $89.58 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NXT/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NXT valuation
  • Financial statements: Nextpower Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001852131) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for NXT as of ; valuations recomputed .

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