What Is Kaiser Aluminum Corporation (KALU) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Kaiser Aluminum Corporation at its current price of $158.28. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $115.92 (-26.8% average return), with 8 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, Markov DDM sees the most upside at +60.3% (fair value: $253.76), while EPV is the most conservative at -95.0% ($7.98). The spread between these extremes — +155.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About KALU?
13 of 13 models are currently active for KALU. Of these, 4 models suggest upside while 9 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates KALU's intrinsic value at $27.47, implying -82.6% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does KALU Rank in Rolling Drawing & Extruding of Nonferrous Metals?
Among 5 Rolling Drawing & Extruding of Nonferrous Metals stocks, KALU ranks #2 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places KALU in the top tier.
As a manufacturing company, Kaiser Aluminum Corporation operates in a sector where capacity utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating KALU should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is KALU a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for KALU. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Kaiser Aluminum Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Kaiser Aluminum Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 8.1/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +155.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every KALU valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across KALU's 13 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →