What Is Mueller Industries, Inc. (MLI) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Mueller Industries, Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $105.01. At a current market price of $56.42, 10 of 13 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting an average implied return of +86.1%. Notably, First Chicago sees the most upside at +182.8% (fair value: $159.53), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -63.4% ($20.65). The spread between these extremes — +246.1% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About MLI?
13 of 13 models are currently active for MLI. Of these, 11 models suggest upside while 2 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates MLI's intrinsic value at $138.08, implying +144.7% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does MLI Rank in Rolling Drawing & Extruding of Nonferrous Metals?
Among 5 Rolling Drawing & Extruding of Nonferrous Metals stocks, MLI ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.8 indicates above-average quality.
Mueller Industries, Inc.'s positioning within the Rolling Drawing & Extruding of Nonferrous Metals segment means that margin expansion trajectory plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including aftermarket and services growth — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is MLI a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns MLI a score of 12/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Mueller Industries, Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Mueller Industries, Inc. scores 7.8 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +246.1% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every MLI valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across MLI's 13 active models, average confidence is 45%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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