Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) Fair Value 2026

RYZ · Metal Fabrication ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (29/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) trades at $25.66, versus a $13.36 median fair value across its 9 active models — 47.9% below the current price. QOC: 7.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 29/100 (LOW). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
RYZ
Price
$25.66
Quality Score
7.3/10
Value Trap Risk
29/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: 9 independent models provide multi-angle coverage
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) appears overvalued as of : the median of 9 independent fair value estimates is $13.36, 47.9% below the current price of $25.66. Estimates range from $2.36 to $56.45. RYZ scores 7.3/10 on fundamental quality and 29/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. RYZ’s -47.9% gap is wider than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Ryerson Holding Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give RYZ?

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($25.66)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $4.17 -83.7%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $15.75 -38.6%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $13.36 -47.9%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $3.14 -87.8%
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What Is RYZ's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 9 independent models · $2.36 to $56.45

CirclFi's 9 active models place Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) between $2.36 and $56.45 per share, a spread of 405% of the median. The median of that range — $13.36 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for RYZ, against a current price of $25.66.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · FTNN
$2.36median $13.36$56.45
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$2.36
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$56.45
Model agreement3 bullish · 6 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for RYZ. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on RYZ, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Ryerson Holding Corporation at its current price of $25.66. The median intrinsic value is estimated at $13.36 (-47.9% vs price), with 6 models flagging overvaluation risk. The most optimistic model, FTNN, places fair value at $56.45 (+120.0%), while Dynamic NAV — the most conservative — estimates $2.36 (-90.8%). This +210.8% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Ryerson Holding Corporation's intrinsic worth.

What Do the Models Say About RYZ?

9 of 13 models are currently active for RYZ. Of these, 3 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for RYZ is $13.36 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does RYZ Rank in Metal Fabrication?

Among 19 Metal Fabrication stocks, RYZ ranks #10 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.3 indicates above-average quality.

Within the Metal Fabrication space, Ryerson Holding Corporation competes in an environment where book-to-bill ratio often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is RYZ a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns RYZ a score of 29/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Ryerson Holding Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Ryerson Holding Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 7.3/10. This respectable score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +210.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every RYZ valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across RYZ's 9 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Ryerson Holding Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Metal Fabrication Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Metal Fabrication stocks with 13-model coverage

TGTredegar CorporationQOC 7.3MECMayville Engineering Company, Inc.QOC 6.6ESABESAB CorporationQOC 7.6TRSGTungray Technologies Inc.QOC 6.4CMCCommercial Metals CompanyQOC 7.7TPCSTechPrecision CorporationQOC 6.0GPGIGPGI, Inc.QOC 5.9MTENMingteng International Corporation Inc.QOC 2.7PRLBProto Labs, Inc.QOC 7.9MLIMueller Industries, Inc.QOC 9.4CRSCarpenter Technology CorporationQOC 9.1

Read investment analysis: TG · MEC · ESAB · TRSG · CMC · TPCS · GPGI · MTEN · PRLB · MLI · CRS

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to RYZ?

7 companies across all industries closest to RYZ’s Quality of Company score of 7.3/10.

CPKChesapeake Utilities CorporationQOC 7.3GDOTGreen Dot CorporationQOC 7.3VSECVSE CorporationQOC 7.3LGCLLucas GC LimitedQOC 7.3BMNMBimini Capital Management, Inc.QOC 7.3CWGLCrimson Wine Group, Ltd.QOC 7.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: CPK · GDOT · VSEC · LGCL · BMNM · CWGL · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Ryerson Holding Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Ryerson Holding Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ)'s intrinsic value at $13.36 — the median of 9 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.36 to $56.45. The Quality of Company score is 7.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is RYZ overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $25.66, 3 of 9 active models suggest RYZ may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 9 fair value estimates is $13.36, 47.9% below the current price of $25.66 — a consensus view that RYZ is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Ryerson Holding Corporation's business model in Metal Fabrication.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.3 mean for RYZ?

Ryerson Holding Corporation's QOC of 7.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on RYZ?

CirclFi analyzes RYZ with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on RYZ?

Of the 9 models currently active on RYZ, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $56.45 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $2.36. CirclFi's published fair value for RYZ is the median of that range, $13.36, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 405% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is RYZ a value trap in 2026?

Ryerson Holding Corporation's Value Trap score is 29/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 9-model valuation engine, Ryerson Holding Corporation (RYZ) has a median fair value of $13.36 — 47.9% below the current price of $25.66 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/RYZ/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this RYZ valuation
  • Financial statements: Ryerson Holding Corporation 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001481582) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for RYZ as of ; valuations recomputed .

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