Insteel Industries Inc. (IIIN) Fair Value 2026

IIIN · Metal Fabrication ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.3 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Insteel Industries Inc. (IIIN) trades at $30.64, versus a $31.68 median fair value across its 12 active models — 3.4% above the current price. QOC: 8.3/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $22.66.

Key Facts

Ticker
IIIN
Price
$30.64
Quality Score
8.3/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +452.1% upside with 57% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (12/13) may reduce confidence

Is Insteel Industries Inc. (IIIN) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Insteel Industries Inc. (IIIN) appears fairly valued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $31.68, within 3.4% of the current price of $30.64. Estimates range from $2.53 to $169.17. IIIN scores 8.3/10 on fundamental quality and 17/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. IIIN’s +3.4% gap is narrower than that market norm. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Insteel Industries Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give IIIN?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($30.64)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $22.66 -26.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $30.07 -1.9%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $33.30 +8.7%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $169.17 +452.1%
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What Is IIIN's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $2.53 to $169.17

CirclFi's 12 active models place Insteel Industries Inc. (IIIN) between $2.53 and $169.17 per share, a spread of 526% of the median. The median of that range — $31.68 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for IIIN, against a current price of $30.64.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · First Chicago
$2.53median $31.68$169.17
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$2.53
Most bullish modelFirst Chicago$169.17
Model agreement6 bullish · 5 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for IIIN. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on IIIN, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Insteel Industries Inc. (IIIN) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Insteel Industries Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a median $31.68, showing conflicting signals at the current price of $30.64. While the median implied return is +3.4%, model disagreement is elevated with a gap of +543.9% between the most bullish and bearish estimates. The most optimistic model, First Chicago, places fair value at $169.17 (+452.1%), while Markov DDM — the most conservative — estimates $2.53 (-91.7%). This +543.9% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Insteel Industries Inc.'s intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About IIIN?

12 of 13 models are currently active for IIIN. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 6 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for IIIN is $31.68 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $22.66 on its own, implying -26.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does IIIN Rank in Metal Fabrication?

Among 19 Metal Fabrication stocks, IIIN ranks #4 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.3 places IIIN in the top tier.

Within the Metal Fabrication space, Insteel Industries Inc. competes in an environment where margin expansion trajectory often separates market leaders from laggards. Understanding these industry-specific dynamics is essential context for interpreting our model outputs.

Is IIIN a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns IIIN a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Insteel Industries Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Insteel Industries Inc. is rated at 8.3/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +543.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every IIIN valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across IIIN's 12 active models, average confidence is 49%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Insteel Industries Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Metal Fabrication Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

9 related Metal Fabrication stocks with 13-model coverage

ATIATI Inc.QOC 8.7PRLBProto Labs, Inc.QOC 7.9CRSCarpenter Technology CorporationQOC 9.1WORWorthington Enterprises, Inc.QOC 7.9MLIMueller Industries, Inc.QOC 9.4CMCCommercial Metals CompanyQOC 7.7ESABESAB CorporationQOC 7.6TPCSTechPrecision CorporationQOC 6.0HIHOHighway Holdings LimitedQOC 3.0

Read investment analysis: ATI · PRLB · CRS · WOR · MLI · CMC · ESAB · TPCS · HIHO

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to IIIN?

7 companies across all industries closest to IIIN’s Quality of Company score of 8.3/10.

MKTXMarketAxess Holdings Inc.QOC 8.3CHAChagee Holdings LimitedQOC 8.3PSXPhillips 66QOC 8.3TSSITSS, Inc.QOC 8.3NVSTEnvista Holdings CorporationQOC 8.3CRCrane CompanyQOC 8.3NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MKTX · CHA · PSX · TSSI · NVST · CR · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About Insteel Industries Inc.’s Valuation?

What is Insteel Industries Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Insteel Industries Inc. (IIIN)'s intrinsic value at $31.68 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $2.53 to $169.17. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $22.66 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.3/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is IIIN overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $30.64, 6 of 12 active models suggest IIIN may be undervalued, while 6 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $31.68, within 3.4% of the current price of $30.64 — a consensus view that IIIN is fairly valued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Insteel Industries Inc.'s business model in Metal Fabrication.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.3 mean for IIIN?

Insteel Industries Inc.'s QOC of 8.3/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on IIIN?

CirclFi analyzes IIIN with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on IIIN?

Of the 12 models currently active on IIIN, First Chicago is the most bullish at $169.17 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $2.53. CirclFi's published fair value for IIIN is the median of that range, $31.68, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 526% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is IIIN a value trap in 2026?

Insteel Industries Inc.'s Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Insteel Industries Inc. (IIIN) has a median fair value of $31.68 — within 3.4% of the current price of $30.64 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/IIIN/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this IIIN valuation
  • Financial statements: Insteel Industries Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000764401) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for IIIN as of ; valuations recomputed .

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