What Is Ingevity Corporation (NGVT) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, the balance of valuation evidence tilts cautious on Ingevity Corporation at its current price of $74.53. The composite intrinsic value is estimated at $73.20 (-1.8% average return), with 7 models flagging overvaluation risk. Notably, FTNN sees the most upside at +160.9% (fair value: $194.47), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -91.9% ($6.07). The spread between these extremes — +252.8% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About NGVT?
12 of 13 models are currently active for NGVT. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates NGVT's intrinsic value at $6.07, implying -91.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does NGVT Rank in Chemicals & Allied Products?
Among 14 Chemicals & Allied Products stocks, NGVT ranks #13 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 3.3/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 3.3 signals below-average fundamentals.
As a manufacturing company, Ingevity Corporation operates in a sector where working capital efficiency is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating NGVT should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is NGVT a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NGVT a score of 18/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Ingevity Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Ingevity Corporation's fundamental quality profile registers 3.3/10. This concerning score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +252.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every NGVT valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across NGVT's 12 active models, average confidence is 39%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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