What Is Sherwin-Williams Company (The) (SHW) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Sherwin-Williams Company (The)'s intrinsic value is estimated at $166.96. Trading at its current price of $329.01, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 13 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -49.3%. Model dispersion is worth noting: PWERM targets $344.75 (+4.8%), versus Dynamic NAV at $5.23 (-98.4%). This +103.2% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About SHW?
13 of 13 models are currently active for SHW. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 12 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates SHW's intrinsic value at $115.81, implying -64.8% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does SHW Rank in Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply?
Among 6 Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply stocks, SHW ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.4 places SHW in the top tier.
Sherwin-Williams Company (The)'s positioning within the Retail-Building Materials, Hardware, Garden Supply segment means that e-commerce penetration rate plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including geographic expansion — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is SHW a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for SHW. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Sherwin-Williams Company (The). Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Sherwin-Williams Company (The) scores 9.4 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +103.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every SHW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across SHW's 13 active models, average confidence is 47%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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