What Is The Sherwin-Williams Company (SHW) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, The Sherwin-Williams Company's intrinsic value is estimated at $139.39. Trading at its current price of $345.21, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 8 of 9 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -59.6%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $470.65 (+36.3%), versus EROIC at $43.16 (-87.5%). This +123.8% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About SHW?
9 of 13 models are currently active for SHW. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for SHW is $139.39 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $141.35 on its own, implying -59.1% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does SHW Rank in Specialty Chemicals?
Among 69 Specialty Chemicals stocks, SHW ranks #16 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.1 places SHW in the top tier.
See all Most Undervalued Specialty Chemicals Stocks →
The Sherwin-Williams Company's positioning within the Specialty Chemicals segment means that margin expansion trajectory plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including electrification tailwinds — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is SHW a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns SHW a score of 8/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
9 of 13 models are active for The Sherwin-Williams Company. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, The Sherwin-Williams Company scores 8.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a strong rating that demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +123.8% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every SHW valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across SHW's 9 active models, average confidence is 53%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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