Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) Fair Value 2026

NTIC · Specialty Chemicals ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

8.2 /10

32 fundamental signals · 12 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (17/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) trades at $8.07, versus a $4.80 median fair value across its 12 active models — 40.5% below the current price. QOC: 8.2/10. Value Trap Risk: 17/100 (SAFE). 12/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $0.78.

Key Facts

Ticker
NTIC
Price
$8.07
Quality Score
8.2/10
Value Trap Risk
17/100
Models Active
12/13
Last Updated
Strength: First Chicago suggests +19.9% upside with 60% confidence
Risk: Majority of models suggest overvaluation

Is Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) appears overvalued as of : the median of 12 independent fair value estimates is $4.80, 40.5% below the current price of $8.07. Estimates range from $0.35 to $11.11. NTIC scores 8.2/10 on fundamental quality and 17/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.7% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,801 rated companies as of 2026-08-27. NTIC’s -40.5% gap is wider than that market norm, and the Specialty Chemicals sector median is -35.9%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy Northern Technologies International Corporation Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give NTIC?

12 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($8.07)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $0.78 -90.4%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $5.72 -29.1%
Ensemble · Low Conviction
 $4.45 -44.8%
Scenario · High Conviction
 $9.68 +19.9%
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What Is NTIC's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 12 independent models · $0.35 to $11.11

CirclFi's 12 active models place Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) between $0.35 and $11.11 per share, a spread of 224% of the median. The median of that range — $4.80 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for NTIC, against a current price of $8.07.

Low · Markov DDMHigh · Regime Cross
$0.35median $4.80$11.11
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelMarkov DDM$0.35
Most bullish modelRegime Cross-Sectional$11.11
Model agreement2 bullish · 10 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for NTIC. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on NTIC, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Northern Technologies International Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at $4.80. Trading at its current price of $8.07, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 10 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting a median implied return of -40.5%. Model dispersion is worth noting: Regime Cross targets $11.11 (+37.7%), versus Markov DDM at $0.35 (-95.6%). This +133.3% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology.

What Do the Models Say About NTIC?

12 of 13 models are currently active for NTIC. Of these, 2 models suggest upside while 10 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for NTIC is $4.80 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $0.78 on its own, implying -90.4% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does NTIC Rank in Specialty Chemicals?

Among 69 Specialty Chemicals stocks, NTIC ranks #14 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places NTIC in the top tier.

See all Most Undervalued Specialty Chemicals Stocks →

Northern Technologies International Corporation's positioning within the Specialty Chemicals segment means that aftermarket revenue mix plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including electrification tailwinds — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.

Is NTIC a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns NTIC a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

12 of 13 models are active for Northern Technologies International Corporation. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Northern Technologies International Corporation earns a quality score of 8.2/10. This robust rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +133.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every NTIC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across NTIC's 12 active models, average confidence is 51%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Northern Technologies International Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Specialty Chemicals Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Specialty Chemicals stocks with 13-model coverage

ESIElement Solutions IncQOC 8.6NGVTIngevity CorporationQOC 8.2CBTCabot CorporationQOC 8.6SHWThe Sherwin-Williams CompanyQOC 8.1AXTAAxalta Coating Systems Ltd.QOC 8.6SOLSSolstice Advanced Materials, Inc.QOC 8.1ALTOAlto Ingredients, Inc.QOC 7.2LWLGLightwave Logic, Inc.QOC 6.1YMATJ-Star Holding Co., Ltd.QOC 3.1ODCOil-Dri Corporation of AmericaQOC 9.2RPMRPM International Inc.QOC 9.0

Read investment analysis: ESI · NGVT · CBT · SHW · AXTA · SOLS · ALTO · LWLG · YMAT · ODC · RPM

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to NTIC?

7 companies across all industries closest to NTIC’s Quality of Company score of 8.2/10.

MDNCMedinotec Inc.QOC 8.2NWBINorthwest Bancshares, Inc.QOC 8.2STZConstellation Brands, Inc.QOC 8.2CPFCentral Pacific Financial Corp.QOC 8.2HLTHilton Worldwide Holdings Inc.QOC 8.2PKBKParke Bancorp, Inc.QOC 8.2NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: MDNC · NWBI · STZ · CPF · HLT · PKBK · NVDA

Where Does NTIC Sit in CirclFi's Specialty Chemicals Rankings?

NTIC is ranked against every other Specialty Chemicals stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Specialty Chemicals stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Northern Technologies International Corporation’s Valuation?

What is Northern Technologies International Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC)'s intrinsic value at $4.80 — the median of 12 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-27, ranging from $0.35 to $11.11. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $0.78 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 8.2/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is NTIC overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $8.07, 2 of 12 active models suggest NTIC may be undervalued, while 10 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 12 fair value estimates is $4.80, 40.5% below the current price of $8.07 — a consensus view that NTIC is overvalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Northern Technologies International Corporation's business model in Specialty Chemicals.

What does a Quality of Company score of 8.2 mean for NTIC?

Northern Technologies International Corporation's QOC of 8.2/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on NTIC?

CirclFi analyzes NTIC with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 12 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on NTIC?

Of the 12 models currently active on NTIC, Regime Cross-Sectional is the most bullish at $11.11 per share, and Markov DDM is the most bearish at $0.35. CirclFi's published fair value for NTIC is the median of that range, $4.80, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 224% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is NTIC a value trap in 2026?

Northern Technologies International Corporation's Value Trap score is 17/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 12-model valuation engine, Northern Technologies International Corporation (NTIC) has a median fair value of $4.80 — 40.5% below the current price of $8.07 — as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/NTIC/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this NTIC valuation

Market data for NTIC as of ; valuations recomputed .

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