HP Inc. (HPQ) Fair Value 2026

HPQ · Computer Hardware ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 11 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (6/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-28, HP Inc. (HPQ) trades at $30.52, versus a $36.17 median fair value across its 11 active models — 18.5% above the current price. QOC: 7.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 6/100 (SAFE). 11/13 models active. Within that set, the Bayesian DCF component alone returns $32.99.

Key Facts

Ticker
HPQ
Price
$30.52
Quality Score
7.9/10
Value Trap Risk
6/100
Models Active
11/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +18.5% upside with 80% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (11/13) may reduce confidence

Is HP Inc. (HPQ) Undervalued or Overvalued in 2026?

According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, HP Inc. (HPQ) appears undervalued as of : the median of 11 independent fair value estimates is $36.17, 18.5% above the current price of $30.52. Estimates range from $20.21 to $66.57. HPQ scores 7.9/10 on fundamental quality and 6/100 on value-trap risk.

For context, the median US equity CirclFi rates trades at an implied -23.4% versus its own 13-model consensus, across 3,809 rated companies as of 2026-08-28. HPQ’s +18.5% gap is narrower than that market norm, and the Computer Hardware sector median is -62.1%. Full market index →

This verdict compares price to intrinsic value only — it is not a buy or sell rating. For the decision case (bull vs bear arguments, risk factors, peers), read Should You Buy HP Inc. Stock in 2026? →

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give HPQ?

11 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($30.52)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $32.99 +8.1%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $36.17 +18.5%
Ensemble · Medium Conviction
 $35.58 +16.6%
Intrinsic · High Conviction
 $22.92 -24.9%
Unlock the Full Matrix

Access 7 additional models including Markov DDM, Dynamic NAV, and more.

$1.30 / day

Billed monthly ($39/mo) or annually ($299/yr)

Unlock All 11 Models →

Cancel anytime · No contracts · Instant access

What Is HPQ's Fair Value Range?

Spread across 11 independent models · $20.21 to $66.57

CirclFi's 11 active models place HP Inc. (HPQ) between $20.21 and $66.57 per share, a spread of 128% of the median. The median of that range — $36.17 — is the fair value CirclFi publishes for HPQ, against a current price of $30.52.

Low · Dynamic NAVHigh · FTNN
$20.21median $36.17$66.57
Where the range comes from
Most bearish modelDynamic NAV$20.21
Most bullish modelFTNN Topology$66.57
Model agreement8 bullish · 3 bearishwide

A band this wide is itself the finding. When independent methods land far apart, they are reading a business whose value depends heavily on which lens you apply — volatile earnings, heavy reinvestment, or an asset base that cash-flow and asset-based methods score differently. That disagreement is information: it says the choice of method matters more than usual for HPQ. Treat the median as one reading among several and compare the individual models below before acting.

Every figure above is one model's standalone output on HPQ, not a CirclFi price target. How each model works →

What Is HP Inc. (HPQ) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, HP Inc.'s intrinsic value is estimated at $36.17, suggesting a +18.5% median upside from the current price of $30.52. While 8 models see room for appreciation, model agreement is not unanimous as 3 models flag potential overvaluation. Model dispersion is worth noting: FTNN targets $66.57 (+118.1%), versus Dynamic NAV at $20.21 (-33.8%). This +151.9% range highlights the importance of multi-model analysis rather than relying on any single methodology. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bullish — adding weight to the bullish side of the thesis.

What Do the Models Say About HPQ?

11 of 13 models are currently active for HPQ. Of these, 8 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. Taken together, their median fair value for HPQ is $36.17 — the figure CirclFi publishes as this stock's fair value. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, returns $32.99 on its own, implying +8.1% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does HPQ Rank in Computer Hardware?

Among 44 Computer Hardware stocks, HPQ ranks #9 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.9 indicates above-average quality.

HP Inc. operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is HPQ a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns HPQ a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

11 of 13 models are active for HP Inc.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, HP Inc. is rated at 7.9/10. This strong-tier score demonstrates strong fundamentals across the majority of our quality signals.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +151.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every HPQ valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across HPQ's 11 active models, average confidence is 54%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy HP Inc. Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Computer Hardware Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Computer Hardware stocks with 13-model coverage

DELLDell Technologies Inc.QOC 8.1CRCTCricut, Inc.QOC 7.9PEverpure, Inc.QOC 8.8TACTTransAct Technologies IncorporatedQOC 7.4WDCWestern Digital CorporationQOC 8.8ALOTAstroNova, Inc.QOC 7.2IONQIonQ, Inc.QOC 6.1UMACUnusual Machines, Inc.QOC 5.3YIBOPlanet Image International LimitedQOC 2.8ANETArista Networks, Inc.QOC 9.8STXSeagate Technology Holdings plcQOC 9.5

Read investment analysis: DELL · CRCT · P · TACT · WDC · ALOT · IONQ · UMAC · YIBO · ANET · STX

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to HPQ?

7 companies across all industries closest to HPQ’s Quality of Company score of 7.9/10.

IMXIInternational Money Express, Inc.QOC 7.9AUBAtlantic Union Bankshares CorporationQOC 7.9CLXThe Clorox CompanyQOC 7.9NRPNatural Resource Partners L.P.QOC 7.9GSBCGreat Southern Bancorp, Inc.QOC 7.9CAHCardinal Health, Inc.QOC 7.9NVDANVIDIA CorporationQOC 10.0

Read investment analysis: IMXI · AUB · CLX · NRP · GSBC · CAH · NVDA

What Else Do Investors Ask About HP Inc.’s Valuation?

What is HP Inc.'s intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi puts HP Inc. (HPQ)'s intrinsic value at $36.17 — the median of 11 independent model estimates as of 2026-08-28, ranging from $20.21 to $66.57. One component of that median, the Bayesian DCF, runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion and returns $32.99 on its own. The Quality of Company score is 7.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is HPQ overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $30.52, 8 of 11 active models suggest HPQ may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The median of all 11 fair value estimates is $36.17, 18.5% above the current price of $30.52 — a consensus view that HPQ is undervalued. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits HP Inc.'s business model in Computer Hardware.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.9 mean for HPQ?

HP Inc.'s QOC of 7.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on HPQ?

CirclFi analyzes HPQ with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 11 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Which valuation models are most bullish and most bearish on HPQ?

Of the 11 models currently active on HPQ, FTNN Topology is the most bullish at $66.57 per share, and Dynamic NAV is the most bearish at $20.21. CirclFi's published fair value for HPQ is the median of that range, $36.17, not either extreme. The gap between the two ends equals 128% of the median — a wide spread, meaning the methods genuinely disagree and the median should carry less weight. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Is HPQ a value trap in 2026?

HP Inc.'s Value Trap score is 6/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap.

Cite this analysis — “According to CirclFi’s 11-model valuation engine, HP Inc. (HPQ) has a median fair value of $36.17 — 18.5% above the current price of $30.52 — as of 2026-08-28.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/HPQ/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this HPQ valuation
  • Financial statements: HP Inc. 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0000047217) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for HPQ as of ; valuations recomputed .

You’ve done the research. Don’t stop at half the picture.

Stop collecting opinions. Let 11 mathematical frameworks give you clarity on HPQ.

Unlock All 11 Fair Values — $39/mo

Cancel anytime · Less than a cup of coffee · Instant access

7 models hidden for HPQ Unlock All 11 — $39/mo