What Is International Business Machines (IBM) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, International Business Machines's intrinsic value is estimated at $147.18. Trading at its current price of $290.36, the valuation engine raises significant caution: 11 of 12 models flag downside risk, projecting an average implied return of -49.3%. The most optimistic model, RCMH-DCF, places fair value at $299.37 (+3.1%), while EPV — the most conservative — estimates $10.87 (-96.3%). This +99.4% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about International Business Machines's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About IBM?
12 of 13 models are currently active for IBM. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates IBM's intrinsic value at $166.94, implying -42.5% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does IBM Rank in Computer & office Equipment?
Among 3 Computer & office Equipment stocks, IBM ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 6.8/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 6.8 indicates above-average quality.
International Business Machines operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is IBM a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns IBM a score of 17/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for International Business Machines. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, International Business Machines earns a quality score of 6.8/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +99.4% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every IBM valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across IBM's 12 active models, average confidence is 52%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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