What Is Commercial Metals Company (CMC) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Commercial Metals Company's intrinsic value is estimated at $49.12, presenting a divided outlook at the current price of $63.67. With an average implied return of -22.9% across a split 3–7 (bull–bear) consensus, the model spread of +158.5% underscores analytical uncertainty. Notably, Regime Cross sees the most upside at +67.7% (fair value: $106.77), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -90.8% ($5.83). The spread between these extremes — +158.5% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About CMC?
13 of 13 models are currently active for CMC. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 8 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates CMC's intrinsic value at $24.26, implying -61.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does CMC Rank in Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)?
Among 13 Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) stocks, CMC ranks #1 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.4/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.4 places CMC in the top tier.
As a manufacturing company, Commercial Metals Company operates in a sector where capacity utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating CMC should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.
Is CMC a Value Trap?
The Value Trap algorithm is not active for CMC. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Commercial Metals Company. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Commercial Metals Company is rated at 9.4/10. This elite-tier score ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +158.5% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every CMC valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across CMC's 13 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
Buy with Gumroad