What Is Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. (TX) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $46.15. Trading at $44.85, the stock is approaching fair value or slight overvaluation (implied return of +2.9%), as 7 of 12 models suggest limited further upside. Notably, Bayesian DCF sees the most upside at +129.4% (fair value: $102.88), while First Chicago is the most conservative at -64.5% ($15.93). The spread between these extremes — +193.9% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions. Among models with highest confidence, Markov DDM lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About TX?
12 of 13 models are currently active for TX. Of these, 5 models suggest upside while 7 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates TX's intrinsic value at $102.88, implying +129.4% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does TX Rank in Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens)?
Among 13 Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) stocks, TX ranks #7 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.5/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.5 indicates above-average quality.
Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A.'s positioning within the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling Mills (Coke Ovens) segment means that aftermarket revenue mix plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including electrification tailwinds — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is TX a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns TX a score of 20/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Ternium S.A. Ternium S.A. earns a quality score of 7.5/10. This respectable rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +193.9% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every TX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across TX's 12 active models, average confidence is 38%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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