What Is Gerdau S.A. (GGB) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Gerdau S.A.'s intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $6.65. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $4.50 (implied upside of +47.9%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 9 of 13 bullish models. Notably, EPV sees the most upside at +164.5% (fair value: $11.90), while Dynamic NAV is the most conservative at -62.7% ($1.68). The spread between these extremes — +227.2% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.
What Do the Models Say About GGB?
13 of 13 models are currently active for GGB. Of these, 9 models suggest upside while 4 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates GGB's intrinsic value at $7.96, implying +76.8% upside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does GGB Rank in Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling & Finishing Mills?
Among 6 Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling & Finishing Mills stocks, GGB ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 9.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 9.1 places GGB in the top tier.
Gerdau S.A.'s positioning within the Steel Works, Blast Furnaces & Rolling & Finishing Mills segment means that working capital efficiency plays an outsized role in fundamental analysis. The sector's unique characteristics — including infrastructure spending cycle — shape both the opportunity set and risk profile.
Is GGB a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns GGB a score of 8/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
13 of 13 models are active for Gerdau S.A.. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Gerdau S.A. scores 9.1 out of 10 on our 32-signal quality assessment, a elite rating that ranks among the highest-quality businesses in our coverage universe. The QOC score synthesizes profitability margins, revenue growth reliability, debt management, and capital allocation into a single metric designed to separate durable businesses from statistically cheap ones.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +227.2% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every GGB valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across GGB's 13 active models, average confidence is 37%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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