Intchains Group Limited (ICG) Fair Value 2026

ICG · Semiconductors ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

7.1 /10

32 fundamental signals · 1 models active

Value Trap Risk

SAFE (8/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-08-27, Intchains Group Limited (ICG) trades at $0.98. QOC: 7.1/10. Value Trap Risk: 8/100 (SAFE). 1/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
ICG
Price
$0.98
Quality Score
7.1/10
Value Trap Risk
8/100
Models Active
1/13
Last Updated
Strength: Dynamic NAV suggests +51.5% upside with 43% confidence
Risk: Limited model coverage (1/13) may reduce confidence

What Fair Value Does Each Model Give ICG?

1 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($0.98)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Asset-Based · Medium Conviction
$1.49 +51.5%

All Models Active

All 1 models are displayed above.

What Is Intchains Group Limited (ICG) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Intchains Group Limited's intrinsic value is estimated at a median fair value of $1.49. At a current market price of $0.98, 1 of 1 active valuation models identify upside potential, projecting a median implied return of +51.5%.

What Do the Models Say About ICG?

1 of 13 models are currently active for ICG. All 1 active models suggest the stock trades below fair value. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does ICG Rank in Semiconductors?

Among 71 Semiconductors stocks, ICG ranks #34 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 7.1/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 7.1 indicates above-average quality.

See all Most Undervalued Semiconductors Stocks →

As a chip maker, Intchains Group Limited operates in a sector where wafer utilization rate is a critical driver of valuation. Investors evaluating ICG should weigh these sector-specific dynamics alongside our model-derived fair values.

Is ICG a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns ICG a score of 8/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

1 of 13 models are active for Intchains Group Limited. Limited activation may indicate insufficient history. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, which evaluates 32 signals including margin stability, revenue growth trajectory, leverage, and free cash flow generation, Intchains Group Limited is rated at 7.1/10. This solid-tier score maintains reasonable quality metrics with some areas for improvement.

CirclFi runs 13 independent models for each stock. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every ICG valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across ICG's 1 active models, average confidence is 43%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Intchains Group Limited Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

Which Similar Semiconductors Stocks Should You Also Analyze?

11 related Semiconductors stocks with 13-model coverage

Read investment analysis: CEVA · AIP · SLAB · MRAM · IMOS · AOSL · WOLF · POET · ALAB · NVDA · AVGO

Which Other Stocks Have a Similar Quality Score to ICG?

6 companies across all industries closest to ICG’s Quality of Company score of 7.1/10.

Read investment analysis: RPC · ZETA · URGN · RTO · AEE · LNSR

Where Does ICG Sit in CirclFi's Semiconductors Rankings?

ICG is ranked against every other Semiconductors stock CirclFi covers in each of these screens.

See all Semiconductors stocks ranked →

What Else Do Investors Ask About Intchains Group Limited’s Valuation?

What is Intchains Group Limited's intrinsic value in 2026?

CirclFi does not yet have enough active models to publish a median fair value for Intchains Group Limited (ICG). The Quality of Company score is 7.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is ICG overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $0.98, 1 of 1 active models suggest ICG may be undervalued, while 0 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Intchains Group Limited's business model in Semiconductors.

What does a Quality of Company score of 7.1 mean for ICG?

Intchains Group Limited's QOC of 7.1/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores above 7 indicate strong fundamentals and disciplined management.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on ICG?

CirclFi analyzes ICG with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 1 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is ICG a value trap in 2026?

Intchains Group Limited's Value Trap score is 8/100 (SAFE). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

Cite this analysis — “CirclFi assigns Intchains Group Limited (ICG) a Quality of Company score of 7.1/10 across 32 fundamental signals as of 2026-08-27.” Source: circlfi.com/stock/ICG/ · Methodology
Primary sources for this ICG valuation
  • Financial statements: Intchains Group Limited 10-K and 10-Q filings on SEC EDGAR (CIK 0001895597) — 700+ standardized XBRL tags, published by the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission.
  • Discount-rate inputs: FRED, Federal Reserve Bank of St. Louis — risk-free rates, VIX, yield curve, inflation.
  • News sentiment: The GDELT Project — global media tone, input to the Sentiment SOTP model.
  • Model definitions: CirclFi methodology — the published specification for all 13 models, including the academic sources each one implements.

Market data for ICG as of ; valuations recomputed .