What Is Seagate Technology Holdings PLC (STX) Worth in 2026?
According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Seagate Technology Holdings PLC's intrinsic value is estimated at $247.59, suggesting the stock is overvalued at its current price of $860.66. With 11 out of 12 models flagging downside (-71.2% average return), the market may be pricing in unsustainable growth. The most optimistic model, PWERM, places fair value at $890.47 (+3.5%), while ML-RIV — the most conservative — estimates $38.11 (-95.6%). This +99.0% gap reflects genuine analytical uncertainty about Seagate Technology Holdings PLC's intrinsic worth. Among models with highest confidence, Bayesian DCF, EPV lean bearish — adding weight to the bearish side of the thesis.
What Do the Models Say About STX?
12 of 13 models are currently active for STX. Of these, 1 model suggests upside while 11 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates STX's intrinsic value at $43.75, implying -94.9% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →
How Does STX Rank in Computer Storage Devices?
Among 6 Computer Storage Devices stocks, STX ranks #3 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 8.2/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 8.2 places STX in the top tier.
Seagate Technology Holdings PLC operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.
Is STX a Value Trap?
CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns STX a score of 6/100 (SAFE). This indicates minimal risk. Fundamentals are healthy. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →
Multi-Model Methodology
12 of 13 models are active for Seagate Technology Holdings PLC. Broad coverage provides high confidence. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →
According to the CirclFi 32-factor quality framework, Seagate Technology Holdings PLC's fundamental quality profile registers 8.2/10. This robust score captures the company's profitability depth, growth consistency, balance sheet resilience, and shareholder return track record.
The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +99.0% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →
Data Sources & Confidence
Every STX valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →
Across STX's 12 active models, average confidence is 50%. Moderate confidence indicates reasonable fit.
CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →
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