Quantum Corporation (QMCO) Fair Value 2026

QMCO · Computer Storage Devices ·

By CirclFi Research Team · Data from SEC EDGAR, FRED & GDELT

Quality Score

4.9 /10

32 fundamental signals · 9 models active

Value Trap Risk

LOW (39/100)

Quick Summary — As of 2026-07-13, Quantum Corporation (QMCO) trades at $9.67, approximately 5325% above CirclFi’s Bayesian DCF fair value of $0.18. QOC: 4.9/10. Value Trap Risk: 39/100 (LOW). 9/13 models active.

Key Facts

Ticker
QMCO
Price
$9.67
Quality Score
4.9/10
Value Trap Risk
39/100
Models Active
9/13
Last Updated
Strength: Earnings Power Value suggests +310.1% upside with 28% confidence
Risk: Below-average Quality Score of 4.9/10 signals weak fundamentals

Valuation Matrix

9 Intrinsic Value Models vs. Current Price ($9.67)

Core Models (Unlocked)
Model Fair Value Upside
Bayesian DCF
Low Conviction
$0.18 -98.2%
Earnings Power Value
Medium Conviction
$39.66 +310.1%
CUCE Ensemble
Low Conviction
$15.14 +56.6%
First Chicago
Medium Conviction
$16.88 +74.5%

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What Is Quantum Corporation (QMCO) Worth in 2026?

According to the CirclFi Deep Alpha Valuation Engine, Quantum Corporation's intrinsic value is estimated at a composite fair value of $16.15. While the stock appears modestly undervalued at $9.67 (implied upside of +67.0%), our analysis suggests a thinner margin of safety across 6 of 9 bullish models. Notably, EPV sees the most upside at +310.1% (fair value: $39.66), while Bayesian DCF is the most conservative at -98.2% ($0.18). The spread between these extremes — +408.3% — reveals how different analytical frameworks can reach starkly different conclusions.

What Do the Models Say About QMCO?

9 of 13 models are currently active for QMCO. Of these, 6 models suggest upside while 3 models suggest overvaluation. The Bayesian DCF estimates QMCO's intrinsic value at $0.18, implying -98.2% downside from the current price. See which stocks rank higher →

How Does QMCO Rank in Computer Storage Devices?

Among 6 Computer Storage Devices stocks, QMCO ranks #6 by Quality of Company score. CirclFi's QOC score of 4.9/10 evaluates 32 fundamental signals. A score of 4.9 reflects mixed fundamentals.

Quantum Corporation operates in a competitive landscape where fundamental quality metrics are key differentiators for long-term value creation.

Is QMCO a Value Trap?

CirclFi's Value Trap algorithm assigns QMCO a score of 39/100 (LOW). This indicates low risk. The financial profile does not exhibit typical value trap warning signs. The score cross-references apparent undervaluation against fundamental deterioration signals. Browse lowest value-trap stocks →

Multi-Model Methodology

9 of 13 models are active for Quantum Corporation. Moderate coverage provides meaningful perspective. Each model applies a fundamentally different valuation philosophy. See the complete methodology →

According to the CirclFi Quality of Company (QOC) framework, Quantum Corporation earns a quality score of 4.9/10. This mixed rating reflects the company's standing across 32 fundamental signals spanning profitability, growth consistency, balance sheet strength, and capital allocation efficiency.

The gap between the most bullish and bearish model spans +408.3% — demonstrating why single-model analysis is dangerous. Browse all stocks with 13-model coverage →

Data Sources & Confidence

Every QMCO valuation is built from SEC EDGAR XBRL filings — 700+ standardized financial tags. Macroeconomic context from FRED calibrates discount rates, while GDELT news sentiment feeds into our Sentiment SOTP model. All pipelines run daily. Read the complete data methodology →

Across QMCO's 9 active models, average confidence is 21%. Lower confidence may reflect limited history or high volatility.

CirclFi's output is a research starting point, not a buy/sell signal. All data updates daily. Read the full methodology →

This analysis is produced by the CirclFi Valuation Engine using quantitative models applied to SEC EDGAR filings, public market feeds, and FRED macroeconomic indicators. It is not financial advice.

Read the full investment analysis: Should You Buy Quantum Corporation Stock in 2026? →

Bull case, bear case, risk factors & peer comparison — updated daily

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5 related Computer Storage Devices stocks with 13-model coverage

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Frequently Asked Questions About Quantum Corporation

What is Quantum Corporation's intrinsic value in 2026?

Based on CirclFi's 13-model analysis, Quantum Corporation (QMCO) has multiple fair value estimates. The Bayesian DCF model runs 10,000 Monte Carlo simulations with jump-diffusion to estimate intrinsic value at $0.18. The Quality of Company score is 4.9/10 across 32 fundamental signals. All models use SEC EDGAR filings updated daily. See our methodology page for how each model works.

Is QMCO overvalued or undervalued right now?

At $9.67, 6 of 9 active models suggest QMCO may be undervalued, while 3 indicate potential overvaluation. The assessment depends on which methodology best fits Quantum Corporation's business model in Computer Storage Devices.

What does a Quality of Company score of 4.9 mean for QMCO?

Quantum Corporation's QOC of 4.9/10 reflects 32 fundamental signals: profitability margins, revenue growth consistency, balance sheet leverage, free cash flow generation, and capital allocation efficiency. Scores below 5 flag potential fundamental weaknesses requiring careful analysis.

How many valuation models does CirclFi run on QMCO?

CirclFi analyzes QMCO with 13 institutional-grade models daily: Bayesian DCF (Monte Carlo + jump-diffusion), EPV (Greenwald zero-growth), EROIC Spread (McKinsey reinvestment), First Chicago (3-scenario), Markov DDM (regime-switching), ML-RIV (machine learning residual income), Dynamic NAV (asset-based), PWERM (option-theoretic), Regime Cross-Sectional (relative), Sentiment SOTP (hybrid), CUCE Ensemble (meta-model), FTNN Topology (neural network), and RCMH-DCF (conditional regime). Currently 9 of 13 are active for this stock. Read the full methodology →

Is QMCO a value trap in 2026?

Quantum Corporation's Value Trap score is 39/100 (LOW). This low score indicates the current valuation is not artificially depressed by fundamental deterioration, suggesting genuine opportunity rather than a trap. Browse stocks by value-trap risk →

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